Trump & Iran: Tough Talk, Little Action | National Review – National Review
During his trip to the Middle East last week, President Donald Trump had one consistent theme and he never wavered from it: The region needs to unite to stop Iran. Mutual antipathy for Tehran has driven Arab regimes such as Saudi Arabia to make common cause with Israel. It was also the motivation for the massive $110 billion arms deal Trump struck with the Saudis, who believe that President Obamas nuclear agreement with Iran has endangered their security.
But while Trump talks tough about the Iranians, the normally bellicose Islamist regime has been restrained, at least by its standards, in response. Why? The Iranians may be unhappy with Trumps effort to orchestrate the creation of a Middle East NATO that would oppose their dream of regional hegemony, but they are actually quite pleased with other elements of his administrations Iran policy. For all of Trumps bluster, his decision not only to leave the nuclear agreement in place but to erect no obstacles to a major U.S. commercial deal with Iran may have convinced the ayatollahs that the president isnt quite as hostile as he wants to seem.
One of the least noticed aspects of the nuclear deal was a provision that granted Tehran an exception to U.S. sanctions that remained in place after it was signed. That provision allowed U.S. companies to sell commercial passenger aircraft and related parts and services to Iran, and Boeing took advantage of it, joining European businesses in a race to secure Iranian business.
It was a clever strategy that enabled Obama to undermine the remaining resistance to the deal. If, as Obama hoped, a major U.S. firm such as Boeing were to conclude a massive deal of its own with Iran, the jobs created by the sale would build a strong new constituency opposed to retightening the screws on Tehran no matter the regimes subsequent actions.
Boeings deal with Iran was concluded in June 2016, and the Obama administration subsequently issued the requisite licenses for it to move forward. But the Trump administration still has a chance to raise objections and to block the delivery of the planes to Tehran.
The grounds for objection were already clear last year, when Boeing was celebrating the deal: Many of the companies with which it would be doing business have strong connections to or are owned by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which coordinates Irans international terrorist network. Yet so far, the Trump administration has remained suspiciously silent about the deal, leading Iran to the not unreasonable conclusion that while the president may be willing to talk about its role as the worlds leading state sponsor of terror, he is as reluctant to do something about it as his predecessor was.
Trump has no good options when it comes to tearing up the nuclear deal that he spent so much of the 2016 campaign denouncing as a betrayal of U.S. interests. Walking away from the pact at a moment when neither Americas European allies nor Russia and China are willing to re-impose sanctions would simply give the Iranians permission to move quickly toward a bomb without providing a means short of war to stop them. But Trump does have options that can start the process of rebuilding an international quarantine against Iranian terror and punishing the regime for its illegal missile tests.
Earlier this month, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee passed a sweeping set of measures designed to impose new restrictions on trade with Iran because of its human-rights violations and support for terror. The point of such efforts is to expand the list of Iranian individuals and companies affected by the sanctions that still remain in place, so as to hamper the ability of the IRGC and other agents of the regime to profit from foreign trade. Moreover, even if other nations wont re-impose their own sanctions on Iran, U.S. measures that bar foreign banks from the American financial system if they do business with terror-connected Iranian entities can still have a devastating impact on the regime.
President Trump mocked John Kerry as the worst negotiator in history for his disastrous role in making the nuclear pact possible. But if he doesnt move to support the Senate bill and to do something about the Boeing deal, then he will effectively be throwing in his lot with Obamas secretary of state, who remains a public opponent of increased sanctions on Iran.
The reason for Trumps reluctance to move against Boeing is obvious: Promises to create American jobs were as important to the success of his campaign as were his criticisms of Obama. Putting any further obstacles in the way of the transaction would have a devastating impact on the company and the thousands of workers it employs. Moreover, Boeing is looking to expand its ties with Iran and has applied for another license to sell 30 more planes to entities within the country. But Iran uses commercial planes such as the ones Boeing sells to ferry supplies, munitions, and volunteers to Syria, where they have helped preserve the rule of the barbarous Assad regime. No one in the White House can pretend that Boeings budding business relationship with the Islamic Republic is unrelated to the security concerns that Trump discussed with the Saudis and Israelis last week.
All of which is to say that theres a glaring contradiction between Trumps indulgence of Boeings desire to profit from its dealings with Iran and his efforts to rein in a dangerous foe of U.S. interests. If he stays silent and/or allows the planes to be delivered, it may preserve jobs for some of the working-class voters who backed him. But it will also validate Tehrans belief that he is as much a paper tiger as Obama was. And an Iran unfettered by fear of U.S. power, hard and soft, would be an even bigger threat to global security.
READ MORE: The Iran Deal, the Paris Agreement, & Trumps Choice to Move Away from Them The Obama Administrations Iran Deal Duplicity Donald Trumps Iran Flip-Flopping is Nothing of the Kind
Jonathan S. Tobin is the opinion editor of JNS.org and a contributor to National Review Online.
See more here:
Trump & Iran: Tough Talk, Little Action | National Review - National Review
- Israel and Iran Seemed on the Brink of a Bigger War. Whats Holding Them Back? - The New York Times - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran's Air1Air reprimanded over flight suspension - ch-aviation - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Pop icon Googoosh is a voice for women in Iran - DW (English) - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Israel kills wanted Hezbollah commander behind the establishment of Iraqs Iran-backed militias - Long War Journal - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran Braces for Trump Reset With Economy Buckling From Sanctions - Bloomberg - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran to hold nuclear talks with Britain, France, Germany on Nov. 29 - Kyodo News Plus - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran says it immediately activated new, advanced centrifuges after IAEA censure - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran preparing to respond to Israel's Oct. 26 attack - Khamenei's aide - - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- United Nations nuclear agency again condemns Iran for failing to fully cooperate - NPR - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran is preparing to respond to Israel adviser to Supreme Leader Khamenei - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran says it is activating new centrifuges after being condemned by UN nuclear watchdog - CNN - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran to "substantially increase" uranium enrichment capacity over IAEA rebuke led by U.S. and allies - CBS News - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran defies international pressure, increasing its stockpile of near weapons-grade uranium, UN says - The Associated Press - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran offers to cap sensitive uranium stock as IAEA resolution looms - Reuters - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran has ambitions in Western Sahara. Trump can contain them by bolstering ties with Morocco. - Atlantic Council - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Israeli rabbi kidnapped in UAE, sparking fears of Iran's involvement - - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran's President calls on Pope Francis to use influence to stop war in Middle East - Reuters - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- American-Israeli families sue Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah in federal court - Middle East Eye - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Norwegian guard at US Embassy in Oslo arrested over allegations of spying for Russia and Iran - CNN - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran categorically rejects allegations of involvement in murder of Abu Dhabi rabbi - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran: EU widens restrictive measures in view of Iran support of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine and lists one individual and four... - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Student Charged With Spying on US Embassy for Russia, Iran - Newsweek - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Russia sends Yemeni mercenaries to fight in Ukraine after they were tricked into signing up for war by Iran-backed Houthis: report - New York Post - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Did We Do Enough? Airmen Heed Lessons from Their Air Victory over Iran - Air & Space Forces Magazine - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Guard at U.S. Embassy in Norway Accused of Spying for Russia and Iran - The New York Times - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Is Iran's Khamenei signaling readiness for new deal as Trump threat looms large? - Al-Monitor - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran signals willingness to halt stockpile expansion, Grossi says - World Nuclear News - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran set to launch advanced centrifuges after IAEA censure for noncooperation - The Times of Israel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- The winds of change are blowing in Iran - The Spectator - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Iran says German-Iranian died before execution was reported - BBC.com - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran is now dangerously vulnerable to the consequences of another attack on Israel - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Federal agencies say Russia and Iran are ramping up influence campaigns targeting US voters - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Three sentenced to death in Iran over killing of top nuclear scientist - Al Jazeera English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Russia launches Soyuz rocket with dozens of satellites, including two from Iran - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Full-scale war in Middle East involving Israel and Iran likely, say most Europeans in poll - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran executes a Jewish citizen convicted of murder following a dispute over money - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US says Iranian-American held in Iran as tensions high following Israeli attack on country - The Associated Press - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- An Iranian-American journalist is believed to be held by Iran as tensions remain high after an Israeli attack, US says - ABC News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Issues Fresh Threats Against Israel, U.S. - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran arrests female university student who stripped to her underwear in protest over dress code enforcement - CBS News - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Oil prices settle up slightly on Iran worries, but prices down for week - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Two members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards killed in helicopter crash - FRANCE 24 English - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran wants to hold region hostage with retaliation op - analysis - The Jerusalem Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran slams destabilizing presence as US sends B-52 bombers to region - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Woman strips off clothes at Iran university in apparent protest, reports say - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran says two French detainees held in good conditions - Reuters - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Reformist clerics imply Iran should back two-state solution for Israel and Palestine - The Guardian - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran to use bigger warheads in attack on Israel - JNS.org - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Will Iran Withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty? - War On The Rocks - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- From Iran to Turkey, how the Middle East is bracing for US elections - Al-Monitor - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran Rejects Nuclear Weapons but Will 'Defend Itself by All Means' - Newsweek - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran vows strong and complex attack against Israel in retaliation for strikes - New York Post - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- US said to warn Iran it wont be able to restrain Israel if Tehran attacks again - The Times of Israel - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- The Houthis couldn't have built their most dangerous weapons without help from Iran and others, UN experts find - Business Insider - November 5th, 2024 [November 5th, 2024]
- Iran detains woman who stripped to her underwear at university in apparent protest - ABC News - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran executes Jewish Iranian man after settlement aimed at saving him was rejected - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it conducted a ground raid in Syria and seized a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - PBS NewsHour - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran said planning to use more powerful weapons in next attack on Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- The Longer Iran Waits to Attack Israel, the More Risks It Takes - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran's enemies will receive crushing response - Khamenei - BBC.com - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran fears Trump win would bring Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, Western sanctions - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel says it carried out ground raid into Syria, seizing a Syrian citizen connected to Iran - The Associated Press - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel Iran war Live Updates: IDF says it eliminated Hezbollah commander Abu Ali Rida - The Times of India - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran plans strong and complex attack on Israel as Khamenei vows 'harsh retaliation' | What we know so far | Today News - Mint - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- 'Orders to come from Iran': Iraqi militias pose growing risk to Israel - expert - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iraq trying to reel in Iran-backed groups to prevent confrontation with Israel - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran warns of 'crushing response' following Israeli airstrikes as Pentagon announces plans to bolster US presence in the Middle East - Business... - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Khamenei aide warns Iran may review nuclear doctrine if facing existential threat - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran Is Freaked: The Air Force Is Sending B-52 Bombers Much Closer - The National Interest Online - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Israel at War Day 394 | Report: Iran's Army Will Participate in 'Strong and Complex' Attack on Israel - Haaretz - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Iran says airspace remains open - The Jerusalem Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- UN experts say Houthis exploited Gaza war to boost regional status, aided by Iran - The Times of Israel - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Netanyahu tells U.S. that Israel will strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets, officials say - The Washington Post - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Opinion | Its Time for America to Get Real With Iran and Israel - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran says it will respond decisively if Israel attacks, asks UN to intervene - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- US warns Iran to stop plotting against Trump, says US official - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Iran working to control oil spill off Kharg Island, says IRNA - Reuters - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel said to decide on targets it could strike in Iran: Now a matter of time - The Times of Israel - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel will respond to Iran based on national interest - Netanyahu - BBC.com - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]
- Israel Tells U.S. It Will Limit Its Expected Strike on Iran to Military Targets, Officials Say - The New York Times - October 16th, 2024 [October 16th, 2024]