Trump & Iran: Tough Talk, Little Action | National Review – National Review
During his trip to the Middle East last week, President Donald Trump had one consistent theme and he never wavered from it: The region needs to unite to stop Iran. Mutual antipathy for Tehran has driven Arab regimes such as Saudi Arabia to make common cause with Israel. It was also the motivation for the massive $110 billion arms deal Trump struck with the Saudis, who believe that President Obamas nuclear agreement with Iran has endangered their security.
But while Trump talks tough about the Iranians, the normally bellicose Islamist regime has been restrained, at least by its standards, in response. Why? The Iranians may be unhappy with Trumps effort to orchestrate the creation of a Middle East NATO that would oppose their dream of regional hegemony, but they are actually quite pleased with other elements of his administrations Iran policy. For all of Trumps bluster, his decision not only to leave the nuclear agreement in place but to erect no obstacles to a major U.S. commercial deal with Iran may have convinced the ayatollahs that the president isnt quite as hostile as he wants to seem.
One of the least noticed aspects of the nuclear deal was a provision that granted Tehran an exception to U.S. sanctions that remained in place after it was signed. That provision allowed U.S. companies to sell commercial passenger aircraft and related parts and services to Iran, and Boeing took advantage of it, joining European businesses in a race to secure Iranian business.
It was a clever strategy that enabled Obama to undermine the remaining resistance to the deal. If, as Obama hoped, a major U.S. firm such as Boeing were to conclude a massive deal of its own with Iran, the jobs created by the sale would build a strong new constituency opposed to retightening the screws on Tehran no matter the regimes subsequent actions.
Boeings deal with Iran was concluded in June 2016, and the Obama administration subsequently issued the requisite licenses for it to move forward. But the Trump administration still has a chance to raise objections and to block the delivery of the planes to Tehran.
The grounds for objection were already clear last year, when Boeing was celebrating the deal: Many of the companies with which it would be doing business have strong connections to or are owned by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which coordinates Irans international terrorist network. Yet so far, the Trump administration has remained suspiciously silent about the deal, leading Iran to the not unreasonable conclusion that while the president may be willing to talk about its role as the worlds leading state sponsor of terror, he is as reluctant to do something about it as his predecessor was.
Trump has no good options when it comes to tearing up the nuclear deal that he spent so much of the 2016 campaign denouncing as a betrayal of U.S. interests. Walking away from the pact at a moment when neither Americas European allies nor Russia and China are willing to re-impose sanctions would simply give the Iranians permission to move quickly toward a bomb without providing a means short of war to stop them. But Trump does have options that can start the process of rebuilding an international quarantine against Iranian terror and punishing the regime for its illegal missile tests.
Earlier this month, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee passed a sweeping set of measures designed to impose new restrictions on trade with Iran because of its human-rights violations and support for terror. The point of such efforts is to expand the list of Iranian individuals and companies affected by the sanctions that still remain in place, so as to hamper the ability of the IRGC and other agents of the regime to profit from foreign trade. Moreover, even if other nations wont re-impose their own sanctions on Iran, U.S. measures that bar foreign banks from the American financial system if they do business with terror-connected Iranian entities can still have a devastating impact on the regime.
President Trump mocked John Kerry as the worst negotiator in history for his disastrous role in making the nuclear pact possible. But if he doesnt move to support the Senate bill and to do something about the Boeing deal, then he will effectively be throwing in his lot with Obamas secretary of state, who remains a public opponent of increased sanctions on Iran.
The reason for Trumps reluctance to move against Boeing is obvious: Promises to create American jobs were as important to the success of his campaign as were his criticisms of Obama. Putting any further obstacles in the way of the transaction would have a devastating impact on the company and the thousands of workers it employs. Moreover, Boeing is looking to expand its ties with Iran and has applied for another license to sell 30 more planes to entities within the country. But Iran uses commercial planes such as the ones Boeing sells to ferry supplies, munitions, and volunteers to Syria, where they have helped preserve the rule of the barbarous Assad regime. No one in the White House can pretend that Boeings budding business relationship with the Islamic Republic is unrelated to the security concerns that Trump discussed with the Saudis and Israelis last week.
All of which is to say that theres a glaring contradiction between Trumps indulgence of Boeings desire to profit from its dealings with Iran and his efforts to rein in a dangerous foe of U.S. interests. If he stays silent and/or allows the planes to be delivered, it may preserve jobs for some of the working-class voters who backed him. But it will also validate Tehrans belief that he is as much a paper tiger as Obama was. And an Iran unfettered by fear of U.S. power, hard and soft, would be an even bigger threat to global security.
READ MORE: The Iran Deal, the Paris Agreement, & Trumps Choice to Move Away from Them The Obama Administrations Iran Deal Duplicity Donald Trumps Iran Flip-Flopping is Nothing of the Kind
Jonathan S. Tobin is the opinion editor of JNS.org and a contributor to National Review Online.
See more here:
Trump & Iran: Tough Talk, Little Action | National Review - National Review
- Iran puts on show of force with war games ahead of Trump's second term - CBS News - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- An American hostage during the Iran crisis remembers Jimmy Carter - BBC.com - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- How Iran moves sanctioned oil around the world - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Italian journalist Cecilia Sala released by Iran - The Washington Post - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Angry Trump roasts journalist when asked about Iran military strategy - The Independent - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- UN says Iran executed over 900 people in 2024, including dozens of women - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- An Italian journalist is freed from detention in Iran and returns home - The Associated Press - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- The Iran Opportunity: What America Needs to Do to Achieve a Breakthrough - Foreign Affairs Magazine - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- France says conditions of citizens held in Iran akin to torture - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran Pulls Most Forces From Syria, in Blow to Tehrans Regional Ambitions - The Wall Street Journal - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Shipping in the Crosshairs: What Trumps Return Could Mean for Iran and Maritime Trade - gCaptain - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- OPEC oil output falls in December on UAE and Iran, survey finds - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Yakuza boss pleads guilty to attempted nuclear trafficking to Iran - - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran to hold talks over its nuclear programme with European countries - Euronews - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Five years since the downing of Ukrainian airliner by Iran - Ukrainian World Congress - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran hostages reflect on a crisis that defined Jimmy Carters presidency: A fine man that did his best - The Guardian US - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Activists in Iran describe the threats and oppression they face for protesting - PBS NewsHour - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran diverts focus to West Bank after fall of Assad, Israel says - - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- World News in Brief: Deadly China quake, Killings of Alawites in Syria, executions in Iran, CAR rights defenders, finance and food crises - UN News - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Turkey-backed Syria may be bigger threat than Iran, says Israeli government panel - Middle East Eye - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Tehrans proxies are on the back foot. An Iran-Russia defense pact could revive them. - Breaking Defense - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Italian PM says unaware of any Musk role in journalist's release from Iran - - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Japanese mafia leader caught in U.S. sting pleads guilty to conspiring to traffic nuclear materials to Iran - CBS News - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Report: Israel thinks Trump will back IDF strike on Iran nuke program or order US hit - The Times of Israel - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran tells France to review 'unconstructive' approach ahead of meeting - Reuters - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Welcoming election of Lebanese president, Iran says it wants to work with him - The Times of Israel - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Executions of women in Iran hit highest level in 17 years: report - JURIST - January 9th, 2025 [January 9th, 2025]
- Iran warns Italy that bilateral ties at risk if it bows to 'hostile' US demands over drone suspect - ABC News - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- On GPS: How will Trump deal with Russia and Iran? - CNN - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Israels Red Sea Conundrum: Hit the Houthis or Iran - The Wall Street Journal - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Next nuclear talks between Iran and three European countries due on Jan 13 - Reuters - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- A Last Chance for Iran: America Should Give Diplomacy a Final ShotWhile Preparing to Use Military Force - Foreign Affairs Magazine - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran's plot to assassinate dissident artist in Germany exposed | Iran International - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Further Israeli strikes on Iran may lead to full-fledged war, FM warns - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Report to Congress on Iran - USNI News - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Essay | The Untold Story of Jimmy Carters Hawkish Stand on Iran - The Wall Street Journal - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- The Illusion of Influence: Iran's Fictional Tale of Soleimani and Putin - IranWire | - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Israel must confront Iran to weaken the Houthis - opinion - The Jerusalem Post - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Poverty in Iran: A Catalyst for Social Unrest and Regime Instability - Iran News Update - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- What Will Trump Do About Iran? - by Jay Solomon - The FP - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- U.S. imposes Russia, Iran sanctions over attempted election interference - The Washington Post - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Italy presses Iran for immediate release of journalist held in Tehran - The Guardian - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Israel confirms commandos raided Iran missile factory deep in Syria 4 months ago - The Times of Israel - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran to conduct extensive military drills in air, land, and sea - Tehran Times - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran in post-Assad Middle East: Will Khamenei's 2024 gamble haunt him in 2025? | Iran International - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Former diplomat urges Iran to appoint envoy to mend ties with US - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- Iran providing Houthis with more arms after collapse of other armed allies - Telegraph - - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- IDF on alert as Iran faces increasing pressures - JNS.org - January 6th, 2025 [January 6th, 2025]
- PM: Iran dumbfounded by Israeli strikes, saw investment in proxies go down the tubes - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran could build nuclear weapon, Trump told by White House - The Telegraph - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- The year ahead in the Middle East: A weakened Iran has big implications for China - The Conversation - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- The Iran-led axis of resistance in the aftermath of Syrias upheaval - Al Jazeera English - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- PM vows escalated fight against Houthis; officials said urging direct attack on Iran - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Analysis: The Islamic State and Iran remain determined to attack the US - Long War Journal - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Khamenei says Iran does not have or need proxy forces in Middle East - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran plagued by energy crisis partially caused by strikes attributed to Israel - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- US imposes sanctions on Iran and Houthi-related targets - Reuters - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Christmas in Tehran During the 1979 Iran Hostage Crisis - The New Yorker - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Women Being Sent to the Gallows in Alarming Numbers in Iran - Center for Human Rights in Iran - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Trump Reportedly Offers To Hold High-level Nuclear Talks With Iran - i24NEWS - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran pauses the process to implement a new, stricter headscarf law for women, official says - The Associated Press - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Documents captured from Hamas reveal Iran's complex weapons smuggling network - The Jerusalem Post - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- UN pushes for Iran nuclear deal talks, says 'time of the essence' - Reuters.com - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Netanyahu: 'Just as we acted forcefully against Iran's axis of evil, we will act against Houthis' - The Jerusalem Post - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- The Middle East Is in Chaos. Iran Is Focused on the Veil. - Foreign Policy - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran expands weaponization capabilities critical for employing nuclear bomb - Fox News - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran: Only Three Days of Electricity and Gasoline Per Week - Iran Focus - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran celebrates 3rd anniversary of Yalda Nights UNESCO designation - Tehran Times - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Its proxies pummeled, Iran is suddenly more vulnerable than ever. Will it go nuclear? - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- FIFA hails all-women crowd of 45K at game in Iran - ESPN - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Two charged in connection with Iran-backed drone strike that killed 3 US troops in the Middle East - The Associated Press - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Syrians have every right to hate us Iranians | Iran International - - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- UN monitor says reviving Iran deal now irrelevant, since Tehran on cusp of nuke - The Times of Israel - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Syria has been liberated from Russia and Iran but outsiders still threaten its new freedom - The Guardian - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Western sabotage intended to create chaos in Iran - Tehran Times - December 22nd, 2024 [December 22nd, 2024]
- Iran throws its support behind Assad as rebels expand their shock offensive in Syria - NBC News - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Iran says insecurity in Syria will spread beyond borders - - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Iran to begin enriching uranium with thousands of advanced centrifuges, UN watchdog says - The Associated Press - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Rebels in Syria take advantage of Israels successes against a weakened Iran axis - The Times of Israel - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]
- Avoiding the next front: Iraqs fight to stay out of the Israel-Iran conflict - European Council on Foreign Relations - December 2nd, 2024 [December 2nd, 2024]