Why is Iran’s reported mortality rate for coronavirus higher than in other countries? – NBC News
WASHINGTON Iran has the highest reported number of deaths from the coronavirus outside China, raising questions about how the government is handling the public health crisis and whether the often secretive regime has been fully transparent about the extent of the outbreak.
Iran's health ministry spokesman said on Friday that 34 Iranians have died out of a total of 388 positive cases. Iran has now suspended parliament indefinitely due to the outbreak.
Four doctors in Iran who are familiar with how authorities are handling the outbreak, including two who work at hospitals where infected patients have been treated, told an NBC News reporter in New York that the total number of those infected is likely substantially higher than the number released by health authorities.
Dr. Mike Ryan, executive director of the World Health Organizations emergencies program, told reporters Thursday that the virus "came unseen and undetected into Iran, so the extent of infection may be broader than what we may be seeing."
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told Congress Friday that the U.S. had offered to help Iran respond to the virus.
Apart from China, where it was first detected in December, Iran has recorded the most deaths from the new form of coronavirus. There have been 2,747 deaths in China, out of a total of at least 78,497 confirmed cases.
But Iran's reported mortality rate now just nine under percent surpasses the rate for other countries by a wide margin. Earlier this week, it was 16 percent. China's reported mortality rate is currently at 3.5 percent. In South Korea, 13 patients have died out of 1,766 cases, for a reported mortality rate of slightly less than 1 percent. A U.S. soldier is among those infected in South Korea.
A top official in Iran, Masoumeh Ebtekar, the highest ranking woman in Irans government and a vice president for women and family affairs, has tested positive for the corona virus, state media reported, the latest senior official to contract the COVID-19 illness. Ebtekar, the English-speaking spokesperson for the group of Iranian students who seized hostages at the U.S. embassy in Tehran in 1979, was captured in a photo attending a meeting with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on Wednesday.
Two members of Irans parliament have contracted the virus as well as the deputy health minister, who was seen wiping his brow and looking feverish at a press conference a day before he announced he had tested positive.
While the government has imposed some restrictions on holy sites and called off some Friday prayer services, President Rouhani has said there are no plans to quarantine entire cities hit by the virus.
Amid a shortage of surgical masks and hand sanitizer in shops, public health experts say Iran could become the hub of a major outbreak across the Middle East, especially given its porous borders with unstable countries at war or in turmoil.
Iranian officials reported the first case of virus in the religious city of Qom last week, and coronavirus has spread to at least seven other provinces. Other countries in the region, including Iraq, Kuwait, Oman and Afghanistan, reported their first cases this week and said the patients had recently visited Iran.
Let our news meet your inbox. The news and stories that matters, delivered weekday mornings.
In an echo of public reaction in China, critics of the Iranian regime in and outside the country are questioning whether officials in Tehran have given the public a full and accurate picture of the outbreak. But Iranian officials have rejected any suggestion that they are playing down the epidemic.
Full coverage of the coronavirus outbreak
The head of Medical Science University in Qom, Mohammad Reza Ghadir, said on state television that the Health Ministry had banned releasing figures on the outbreak in the city.
Asked how many people had been placed in quarantine, Ghadir said, "The Health Ministry has told us not to announce any new statistics."
Ghadir also said that "most of the tests have to be done in Tehran, and Tehran announces it." His comments suggested that diagnostic tests were mainly being conducted in the capital.
Outside medical experts said reporting on the total number of cases of infection in Iran was possibly lagging behind reporting on deaths. That could be because Iranian authorities are missing less severe cases across the country because of how they are testing and diagnosing patients, because of how information is shared or because of flawed medical equipment.
"This appears to be a reporting issue," said Yanzhong Huang, director of the Center for Global Health Studies at Seton Hall University and a senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations. "Reporting on the cases of infections may have fallen behind the reporting on the deaths."
It's unclear whether Iran has the ability to find out how many people have been infected, which would require venturing out to towns and villages to conduct tests and not simply relying on who goes to large hospitals with severe symptoms, said Dr. William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine and infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University Medical Center.
"That means going to the neighborhood and knocking on doors and really aggressively trying to find cases," Schaffner said in an interview. "I don't know if they have that capacity. Many countries do not, and they don't have that tradition in their public health systems. This would be a very new thing for them to do."
Another possibility is that the patients are from an elderly, more vulnerable part of the population, Schaffner said.
If the virus "was introduced to a population that was older and as a consequence has a bunch of underlying illnesses, [that] could explain a high fatality rate," Schaffner said.
A less likely explanation is that Iran's hospitals had fallen short and patients were not getting the necessary medical care, Schaffner said. But he doubted that was the case, because Iran has a relatively advanced health care system.
Dr. John Torres, NBC News' medical correspondent, said there is no evidence of a change in the genetic profile of the virus, so the explanation for the higher mortality rate likely has to do with how the Iranians are tracking cases of infection.
"The virus has not mutated elsewhere," Torres said.
State media said Tuesday that a member of Parliament, Mamoud Sadeghi, and the country's deputy health minister, Iraj Harirchi, who lead a task force battling the virus, had tested positive. The news came a day after Harirchi appeared at a news conference looking feverish, reaching for tissues to wipe his brow. He wore no mask as the ministry spokesman standing next to him expressed confidence about the government's response to the crisis.
"I say this from the bottom of my heart. Take care of yourselves," Harirchi said in a video he took of himself that was posted after his diagnosis became public. "This is a democratic virus. It does not distinguish between rich and poor, the powerful and not powerful. It may infect a number of people."
Harirchi earlier had reacted with anger when an Iranian politician alleged that the number of deaths was much higher in Qom than the government had acknowledged. Harirchi also had appeared on television coughing during an interview.
The episode raised questions about how Iran is managing the crisis and whether officials are failing to disclose information to the public and the rest of the world. Iranian officials are already under public scrutiny over the handling of the downing of a Ukrainian airliner in January. It took the military three days to admit that the plane had been shot down by an Iranian missile in error, triggering angry street protests.
Secretary of State Pompeo said at a news conference Tuesday that "the United States is deeply concerned by information indicating the Iranian regime may have suppressed vital details about the outbreak in that country."
"All nations, including Iran, should tell the truth about the coronavirus and cooperate with international aid organizations," Pompeo added.
In Washington, top public health officials warned Tuesday that Americans should prepare for the spread of the coronavirus in communities across the country.
"It's not so much a question of if this will happen anymore but rather more a question of exactly when this will happen and how many people in this country will have severe illness," Dr. Nancy Messonnier, the head of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, told reporters.
Read the rest here:
Why is Iran's reported mortality rate for coronavirus higher than in other countries? - NBC News
- Trump voters say the pope should 'stay in his lane' and butt out of the Iran war - NBC News - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Middle East crisis live: Iran says fundamental issues still to be resolved with US amid strait of Hormuz impasse - The Guardian - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Strait of Hormuz blocked as gaps remain on Iran peace talks - Reuters - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Iran war: What is happening on day 51 of the US-Iran conflict? - Al Jazeera - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Trump: Iran got a little cute by blocking Hormuz again, but talks going really well - The Times of Israel - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Iran war: What is happening on day 50 of the US-Iran conflict? - Al Jazeera - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- The U.S. is ready to seize Iran-linked ships with boarding parties, report says, while Marines practice maritime raids - Fortune - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Report: Iran still able to access around 70% of its pre-war missile stocks, 60% of launchers - The Times of Israel - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Iran fully closes Strait of Hormuz over US blockade and fires on ships - AP News - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Why China is taking a behind-the-scenes role in the Iran war - The Washington Post - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- In Qatar, Trapped Between the U.S. and Iran, War Forced a Reckoning - The New York Times - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war. What is going on? - The Guardian - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Heres what the stock market might have gotten wrong about the Iran war - The Washington Post - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- After war of words on Iran, Pope Leo says he's not interested in a debate with Trump - NBC News - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Iran war: What is happening on day 49 of the US-Iran conflict? - Al Jazeera - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Iran parliament speaker touts progress in US talks, but Strait of Hormuz still shut - The Times of Israel - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Trump, Iran cite progress in talks as uncertainty hangs over Strait - KSL News - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- What has Trump said before possible US-Iran talks and what could it mean? - Al Jazeera - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Trump keeps claiming victory in Iran. Our new poll shows voters arent buying it. - Politico - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- The Iran war has revealed Trump's pressure point: the economy - Reuters - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- The Iran war has exposed the limits of neutrality - Al Jazeera - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Smerconish: To end the Iran conflict, Congress must authorize it - CNN - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Faisal Islam: What people in power think the impact of the Iran war will be - BBC - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- What's it like to negotiate with Iran? We asked people who have done it - NPR - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Opinion: All the good US did after WWII squandered with Iran war - The Asheville Citizen Times - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Iran doubles down on closing the Strait of Hormuz as the ceasefire nears expiration - AP News - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Diplomatic cables show Iran war is damaging US on multiple fronts across the world - Politico - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- The most politically charged World Cup ever puts the U.S. and Iran on a collision course while America co-hosts with neighbors it has tariffed -... - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- Trump is savaging allies who criticize the Iran war. But hes treating Joe Rogan very differently - CNN - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- GOP senators urge Trump to find Iran exit plan as energy prices rise: The clock is ticking - Politico - April 19th, 2026 [April 19th, 2026]
- White House Declines to Offer Congress an Estimate of Iran War Cost - The New York Times - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- US House rejects war powers resolution aimed at limiting Iran War - BBC - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Why a U.S. blockade on Iran seems to be working - PBS - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Israel starts a tense ceasefire in Lebanon, as Trump sounds optimistic on Iran talks - NPR - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- House narrowly rejects resolution directing Trump to end hostilities in Iran - The Washington Post - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Pakistan Looks to Play Peacemaker Between U.S. and Iran, Again - The New York Times - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- World Insights: Key conservative influencers turn against Trump over Iran - Xinhua - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Trump says Iran has agreed to hand over enriched uranium - Le Monde.fr - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- It's time to start thinking about the post-Iran war market environment: Lombard Odier - CNBC - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- House effort to end Trump's war with Iran fails by one vote - NBC News - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Pete Hegseth says Iran is digging out missiles and launchers - NBC News - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Opinion | Iran is dangling its favorite kind of deal. Will Trump bite? - The Washington Post - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Behind the bluster, Donald Trump desperately needs a peace deal with Iran. Here's a solution | Rajan Menon - The Guardian - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- It's Not Working: Diplomats Fear Trump's Iran Envoys Are Making Things Worse - Time Magazine - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Trump says the economy is thriving 'despite our little diversion' in Iran - NBC News - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Trump says it is important for Pope to understand Iran is a global threat - Reuters - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- What role is China playing in the Iran war and how is it affected? - Al Jazeera - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Trump Bets Economic Pain Will Finally Force Iran to Reopen Strait - WSJ - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Hegseth says US is locked and loaded to finish job of destroying Iran energy grid - The Guardian - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Trump touts tax tips policy in Vegas, says Iran war is going 'swimmingly' - USA Today - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- We watched 2 focus groups of Georgia swing voters. They're not happy with the Iran war - NPR - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Caine warns "we will use force" if Iran does not comply with blockade on Strait of Hormuz - CBS News - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- What mines has Iran laid in the strait of Hormuz and how can the US remove them? - The Guardian - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Banned AI-generated Iran propaganda videos using Legos have gone viral - MS NOW - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Ben Jennings on the US-Iran war and AI slop cartoon - The Guardian - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- House Republicans block measure to rein in Trump on Iran as floor debate gets heated - MS NOW - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Opinion: Donald Trump finally made a smart move against Iran. It just might end the war - The Globe and Mail - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Trump says Iran war "close to over" as Pakistan pushes for new peace talks - CBS News - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- Done and Dusted? Trumps Portrayal of the War in Iran Collides With Reality. - The New York Times - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- For Iran, Hormuz Is More a Weakness Than a Weapon - Foreign Affairs - April 17th, 2026 [April 17th, 2026]
- CPI Report Live Updates: Inflation Surges as the Effects of Iran War Show in Prices - The New York Times - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Theres growing disquiet in the military. The Iran war made it worse - NPR - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Vance warns Iran against 'trying to play' US as he heads to Pakistan for peace talks - BBC - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Middle East crisis live: Vance warns Iran not to play US as he heads to Pakistan for talks - The Guardian - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Trump started the Iran war with 5 goals. How far has he gotten? - The Washington Post - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Trump says Iran doing a very poor job in reopening the Strait of Hormuz - NPR - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Trumps Strategic and Moral Failure in Iran - The New Yorker - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- VP Vance to lead U.S. team in Iran peace talks. And, Artemis II to return to Earth - NPR - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- The Costs of Trumps Iran-War Folly - The New Yorker - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Trump fumes as Iran retains choke hold on Strait of Hormuz ahead of peace talks - The Washington Post - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Iran ceasefire: Not an off-ramp for the US but a life-saving ejection seat - Al Jazeera - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Islamabad prepares to host US-Iran negotiations as Trump casts doubt on ceasefire | First Thing - The Guardian - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Fact-checking Trump and Hegseth's claims of U.S. 'victory' in the Iran war - PBS - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Vance Faces a High-Profile Test of His Negotiating Skills With Iran Talks - The New York Times - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war draw calls for investigations from lawmakers - NPR - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- S&P 500 is about to wipe out Iran war losses. Why stocks are more optimistic than oil - CNBC - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Pete Hegseths holy war: the militant Christian theology animating the US attack on Iran - The Guardian - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Iran enters peace talks emboldened but wounded, and wary of Trump - NBC News - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Pakistan emerges as a key international player as it mediates between US and Iran - The Times of Israel - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]
- Starmer Says He's 'Fed Up' With Trump as Europe Splinters From U.S. Over Iran War - Time Magazine - April 10th, 2026 [April 10th, 2026]