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As the government desperately searches for a budget success to end the year, Prime Minister Tony Abbott continues to slide in the polls.

As soon as one election is over, we start turning our attention to the next and that will be Prime Minister Tony Abbott's appointment with the voters, due some time around September 2016.

If the opinion polls were consistently bad for the Napthine government leading up to its defeat, they are even worse for the Abbott government. The Australian tells us Newspoll last weekend found it trailing 45-55 in the two-party preferred vote an 8.5 per cent national swing since its election 15 months ago. Opinion polls are not elections, as the Howard government proved in 2001 and 2004. But between elections, they're the best guide we've got. The question is inevitable: could the Abbott government too end up as a one-term government the first at national level since the Great Depression?

By the way, it might not be the next one-termer. In 2012 Queensland Premier Campbell Newman won such a huge majority that Labor was left with just seven seats. But three polls in the past week show his government just ahead, just behind and level pegging with Labor. The election is due in March.

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Federal Liberals have reason to be scared