Liberals may be pleasantly surprised by the Budget but Tory Party faithfuls could be in for a shock – The Independent
In November 2009, the dying days of Gordon Browns premiership, his Chancellor, Alistair Darling, was named Survivor of the Year at The Spectator magazines parliamentary awards. It was a coy compliment from a right-leaning magazine, highlighting how close Darling had come that year to losing his job to Browns henchman Ed Balls (the pre-Strictly version). Yet it was also a grudging acknowledgement of how difficult it can be to maintain the second most powerful office in the land especially when the premier is used to having things his, or her, way.
Philip Hammond, as he delivers his first Budget on Wednesday, will also have emerged as a great survivor. On his appointment, he seemed to exemplify the aesthetic of the Theresa May regime: a safe pair of hands, an older and greyer head than the yuppie-young confidence tricksters of the Cameron years. Hammond was 61 when he took the job of Chancellor; GeorgeOsborne had been 38.
Yet it soon emerged that Hammond was altogether too grey, too sage, for the more excitable Brexit bunnies. The details of early rows found their way with regularity into Sunday papers. An early skirmish over immigration drew a public rebuke from No 10 when Hammond publicly floated the idea of excluding students from the Governments target. (Most economists would like to see British universities allowed to take as many foreign students as possible; Tory voters, and thus the Prime Minister, fear it as immigration by the back door.)May and Hammond already clashed over the independence of the Bank of England, and the regulation of foreign takeovers. By mid-October, Hammond had to deny that hed threatened to resign; No10 was left issuing anodyne statements about having full confidence in the Chancellor.
And yet he survived. Why? In part, it is because Hammond has firmly established himself as a steady check on the more extreme excesses of the hard Brexiteers. Unlike May, who is driven primarily by the electorates concerns, Hammonds focus has been on retaining Britains attractiveness to foreign investors and talking up economic growth It is clear to me that the British people did not vote on 23Juneto become poorer, he declared at last autumns party conference, before going on to caution against alienating international employers. As indicated by his intervention on student migration, Hammond is fundamentally an economic liberal, who has set himself the mission of salvaging as much of Britains openness to movement of labour as possible.
Perhaps that puts the Chancellor on a collision course with the Prime Minister. But the truth is that the PM has found it quite useful to have a proxy when David Davis dismisses off-hand the promise of an EU transitional deal, or Boris Johnson announces unilaterally that we wont pay for access to the single market. With his dry erudition Hammond is frequently described as intellectual arrogant by his opponents he commands the respect of the City. And he can babysit the Cabinet at the same time.
More fundamentally, Hammond and May know that both their necks are on the line if Brexit negotiations fail. The Conservative Party may have no effective opposition for now. But both have staked their political careers on steering Britain out of the Brexit quagmire and that means, however great their day-to-day differences, they know they have to steer together.
Philip Hammond: Post-Brexit Britain won't 'slink off like a wounded animal'
The advantage for Hammond, of course, is that Brexit is still the only game in town, even on Budget day. Brexit planning is sucking up the energy of the Government in a fashion that is downright dangerous talk to civil servants in the Department of Transport, or even atHealth, and theyll complain that their political masters are too busy with European matters to agree basic policy directives. So Wednesdays Budget will be watched closely to see the assumptions it makes about inflation and post-Brexit growth, but on fiscal detail, few people will be offering quite as much scrutiny as usual. Why bother, when you can go another round of expat versus migrant in the pub?
The Budget, such as it is, looks unlikely to break much with the Osborne tradition. (Hammond is said to have asked his predecessor for advice.) In a rare anti-market sop, Hammond retains Osbornes antipathy to the buy to let market, phasing out tax relief on Buy to Let mortgages although there are inklings he may reverse Osbornes stamp duty increase. Otherwise, its cautious but standard Tory fare: raising the personal allowance before tax is paid on income (although many of the working poor will still pay hefty NI contributions) and heavy cuts on child credit. Much will be made of small gestures gently increasing the budget again for staff in prisons, for example, despite a 30 per cent cut in recent years and 1bn for social care, which may provide a bandage to the current crisis but is unlikely to accompany major policy changes until a mooted review concludes.
So far, so Tory. But what makes Hammonds policy moves interesting is that hes one of the few characteristic conservatives left in senior positions. The Brexiteers are innately radical, enthralled by the concept of creative destruction. Hammond is inherently cautious look at this weekends appearance on Peston on Sunday and at how heavily he warned against getting too optimistic about the latest positive economic growth forecast. Perhaps the forecasts immediately following the Brexit vote were over-pessimistic, he admitted, but if somebody gives you a bit more headroom on your credit card, it doesn't mean you have to rush out and spend it all at once. Expect to hear a lot more of that on Wednesday and plenty of talk about the need for Britain to shore up long-term resilience. This is the rhetoric of a man playing a long game. If Britain emerges as a cautious survivor, so can he.
- Fatal flaw of liberals is belief that being right is enough | Opinion - The News-Press - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Liberals want Americans to depend on government - Washington Times - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- If old school white-anting Sussan Ley on gender quotas works, the Liberals may pay a heavy political price - The Guardian - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- HUNTER: Have Liberals had their come-to-Jesus moment on crime? - Toronto Sun - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Random Musing: Why some Indian liberals are celebrating Zohran Mamdani and think he is the new Obama - Times of India - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Liberals In California Are Banning Books Again - The Daily Wire - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- 'Liberals need to reconnect with people's deep feelings of being disrespected,' sociologist says - Perspective - France 24 - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Threat of Trump should drive liberals from the middle ground | Opinion - The Portland Press Herald - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- If the Liberals want to appeal again to aspirational Australians, they could start by taxing wealth | Judith Brett - The Guardian - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- The Weekly Wrap: The Liberals must abandon their internet regulation agenda - The Hub | More Signal. Less Noise. - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Data breach may have exposed 200,000 home-care patients' information, say Ontario Liberals - Yahoo - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- M. imeka criticized the Slovak government after the summit of liberals in Brussels for not diversifying gas supplies - European Newsroom - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- ANALYSIS: David Petersons Liberals are remembering the good times. Ontarians should, too - TVO Today - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Carney Liberals urged to ditch DST as Trump terminates trade talks with Canada - Toronto Sun - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Martin Regg Cohn: History reminds Ontarios languishing Liberals that they need to make their own luck - Toronto Star - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Arab Journalists and Liberals Praise U.S. Strike On Iran: The Iranian Threat Is Over; Trump Saved Humanity; God Bless America - MEMRI | Middle East... - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Conservatives report better mental health than liberals. I think I know why. | Opinion - USA Today - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Federal Liberals reintroduce cybersecurity bill meant to protect critical infrastructure - The Globe and Mail - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Threat of Trump should drive liberals from the middle ground | Opinion - Lewiston Sun Journal - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Opinion: The Tory future may lie with the Liberals - Winnipeg Free Press - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- FIRST READING: All the hidden extras buried in the Liberals fast-tracked omnibus bills - National Post - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Battin wants to reset and to rally Liberals behind taxes, housing and crime - Neos Kosmos - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Chaos over withdrawal of EU law against greenwashing. Last trialogue skips, anger of socialists and liberals - Eunews - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Libman: Quebec Liberals gamble on Rodriguez. Will voters? - Montreal Gazette - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Hunger strikes! Tears! Arrest! Its been a week of ridiculous performances as NYC liberals chase folk-hero status - New York Post - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- The Trump Peace Prize? Matt Gaetz suggests renaming honor they only give to liberals - AL.com - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Victorias Liberals saved John Pesutto from bankruptcy. But can they save themselves from all-out war? - The Guardian - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Q+A | Outgoing Yukon premier highlights renewed energy in Yukon Liberals with new leader - Yahoo - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Trump Complains He Should Have Won FIVE Nobel Prizes By Now But They Only Give Them To Liberals - Mediaite - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Putins biggest threat is not from liberals but the nationalist Right - The Telegraph - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Obama swipes at affluent liberals during rare public remarks, says 'all of us are going to be tested' - Fox News - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Swedens Liberals bet to revive a sinking party - Euractiv - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- They Hate Our Country The Right-Wings Accusation Towards Liberals - Daily Kos - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- BREAKING: Yukon Liberals select Mike Pemberton as their new leader and the territory's next premier - Yukon News - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Andr Pratte: Pablo Rodriguez has won over the Quebec Liberals. That was the easy part - National Post - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Why liberals ignored the grooming gang scandal - The Spectator - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Liberals to pass major projects bill this week with Conservative support - National Post - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Liberals Pushing Through Law That Expands Governments Power - The Tyee - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Liberals major projects bill on track to pass before House rises for summer - iPolitics - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- Yukon Liberals to choose new leader tonight - 96.1 The Rush - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- MAGA World and liberals have turned on Musk as Trump divorce turns friends to foe - The Independent - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- The Occupation Is Destroying Israel From Within, and Liberals Can't Ignore It Anymore - Haaretz - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- 15 Liberals And Conservatives Are Sharing The Political Opinions They Hold That Align With The Opposite Party - Yahoo - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- How are the Liberals of Bradfield coping with their loss? | Fiona Katauskas - The Guardian - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- 15 Liberals And Conservatives Are Sharing The Political Opinions They Hold That Align With The Opposite Party - BuzzFeed - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Liberals and Conservatives in Canada split on Mark Carney and the country's direction after the election - YouGov - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Moderate Liberals say the party has a choice be a far-right rump run by octogenarians or move to the centre - The Guardian - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Chris Selley: Liberals wrap much-needed refugee reform in a terrible privacy-invading package - National Post - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- 7 Things: Trump and Musk are going at it; Tuberville taunts liberals; angry mob demands MTG stay out of HSV; and more... - Yellowhammer News - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- How a little-known procedure helped the Liberals dodge their first confidence vote - National Post - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Supporters of John Pesutto question Victorian Liberals priorities over reluctance to bail out former leader - The Guardian - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Globe editorial: The Liberals get around to fixing the thing they broke - The Globe and Mail - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- As John Pesutto faces bankruptcy, the Victorian Liberals struggle to unite - Australian Broadcasting Corporation - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Liberals survive confidence vote, as throne speech motion passes through House - iPolitics - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Liberals introduce bill to cut trade barriers, speed up 'nation-building' infrastructure - Yahoo - June 7th, 2025 [June 7th, 2025]
- Wave of anger could sweep liberals to victory in South Korea election - Reuters - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Liberals lead debate on the future of European security in Helsinki - ALDE Party - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Milk Act to Bike Month: How Liberals are trying to slow Bill 5 with 4,000 amendments - Global News - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- What are Canadas governing Liberals going to do about AI? - The Conversation - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Opinion | The one thing liberals need to address before the June parade - The Washington Post - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Gina Rinehart helped Liberals raise nearly $400,000 at exclusive dinner that led to wrongful dismissal claim - The Guardian - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Just before the election, Liberals handed out 411 cheques worth $3.86B - Global News - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Prominent conservative legal scholars join liberals to condemn Trump in biting court brief - Alternet - June 4th, 2025 [June 4th, 2025]
- Theres A New Law Firm In Washington. It Wants To Take All The Cases Liberals Hate - dailycaller.com - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- The Liberals aren't tabling a budget. How does that affect the economy and your wallet? - CBC - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Liberals will table a budget this fall, Prime Minister Mark Carney says - CBC - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Ted OBrien says Liberals need to reflect modern Australia with more women in party - The Guardian - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Sussan Ley needs bold thinking to modernise the Liberals. She should look to David Camerons Tories | Tom McIlroy - The Guardian - May 19th, 2025 [May 19th, 2025]
- Political parties can recover after a devastating election loss. But the Liberals will need to think differently - The Conversation - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- Donald Trump Jr. Helped Fund a MAGA Marketplace. Liberals Are Using It as a Tooland a Warning - Vanity Fair - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- University Admissions and Liberals Should Focus on Class, Not Race - Bloomberg.com - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- After the Australian election, what the crisis of the Liberals reveals - World Socialist Web Site - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- Liberals pick up another seat by a single vote after results of judicial recount in Montreal-area riding - The Globe and Mail - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- The Liberals have a long road to relevance and Sussan Leys slim victory means she begins on shaky foundations - The Guardian - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- The Liberals are about to select Peter Duttons replacement. Heres who is in the running - The Guardian - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- View from The Hill: Ley says Liberals must meet the people where they are, but how can a divided party do that? - The Conversation - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- David Souter, former GOP Supreme Court justice who often sided with liberals, dies - Yahoo News - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- Poilievre asks Liberals to steal his ideas on carbon tax, housing and more - MSN - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- Conservative fundraising email suggests Liberals trying to 'tip the scales' in recounts - CBC - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]
- Four charts that show why Liberals are struggling to win elections - AFR - May 14th, 2025 [May 14th, 2025]