Mediaboss Marketing

Among decided voters, 40% say they would back the Trudeau Liberals compared to 30% who would vote for Erin OTooles Conservatives. The NDP under Jagmeet Singh has the support of 15% of decided voters while the Greens have 7% and the Bloc Quebecois 6%.

Trudeaus support is strongest in Atlantic Canada, Manitoba and Ontario. The Liberals also have a strong lead among women of all age groups and men aged 18-34. The Conservatives only hold a slight lead among men 35 and up.

We apologize, but this video has failed to load.

The numbers, if they translated into votes, would likely deliver Trudeau a stronger majority than he received in 2015.

Nick Kouvalis, Principal at Campaign Research, said the numbers show that Trudeaus gamble in shutting down Parliament has worked.

I think that for a month now they havent been getting the scrutiny on the WE scandal and now the Trudeau Liberals are talking about national pharmacare, daycare money and building a green economy and now they are up in the polls, Kouvalis said.

Based on his polling, Kouvalis said there are enough Canadians interested in the massive spending and social programs he is offering that if Trudeau were to trigger an election, he could find strong support with voters. He added, though, that if the throne speech and budget receive significant scrutiny, that support could fade away again.

Anything can happen in election campaign, Kouvalis said.

Those words are true and should be heeded by all parties.

The Liberals, and Trudeau, had been riding high in the polls for months amid the pandemic bump that most sitting political leaders were seeing. That lead evaporated amid daily headlines of scandal.

More:
LILLEY: Closing Parliament and WE scandal boosts Liberal poll numbers - Toronto Sun