Long-term Liberals: analysis

By SEAN FORDMarch 17, 2014, 9 a.m.

THE Liberals are well placed to govern Tasmania for a decade.

THE Liberals are well placed to govern Tasmania for a decade.

Fourteen seats (maybe 15) in a 25-seat parliament is a strong start.

Other key advantages are not the Liberals' doing.

First is how strongly Labor is now on the nose with voters, in Braddon and beyond.

A former "Labor state" now looks set to elect eight Labor MPs at most.

The Greens have also taken a haircut, in the swing against them and quite likely to the extent of two of their five seats.

But the biggest plus for the Liberals is the economic cycle.

Tasmania is heading into strong economic recovery, as shown by the most recent jobs figures and other economic data.

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Long-term Liberals: analysis

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