Analysis: The politics behind Haftar’s devolution of power in Libya – TRT World
The Libyan warlord faces an ICC investigation for his alleged role in mass grave burials and resistance from his allies.
Libyan warlord Khalifa Haftar has reportedly decentralised his command by delegating powersto his subordinate, Abdulrazek al Nadoori.
This comes after several reports of a rift between Haftar and Libya's Tobruk-based so called House of Representatives (HoR), Aguilah Saleh, emerged in the past few months. Saleh however has denied this, albeit with a measured tone.
Although Saleh has repeatedly said his relationship with Haftar has exceeded any formal positions, he has been candid in confessing that instead of disagreements, he has only ever experienced a difference of views with the warlord, something he has called a "natural and healthy phenomenon" in all countries of the world.
With Haftar now taking a backseat - as per news reports - Nadoori will be heading the Operation Dignity Major Room, or in essence, the central command of Haftar's militias, as well as the military zones currently controlled by the warlords militias, and all security rooms, including a training directorate.
For regional experts, Haftar's decision to transfer powers to al Nadoori was done with the intention of avoiding potential consequences from his previous failures: overseeing burials of civilians in mass graves and war crimes committed by his mobs during an offensive against the UN-backed government of GNA.
Other experts say Aguila Salehs recent moves, coupled with the International Criminal Court's investigation of mass graves in Tarhuna, gave an irreversible battering to Haftar's reputation and paved the way for this new ascent to power.
Egypt is also apparently losing its confidencein Haftar, with reports emerging from Cairo that suggest the Egyptian regime is exploring alternatives to the warlord, especially after he faced back-to-back defeats at the hands of the UN-backed government.
According to Karim Mezran, a resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, Aguila Saleh wields a strong influence in eastern Libya. He is not only the speaker of a pro-Haftar parliament, but also a crucial political figure belonging to the al Ubadiat tribe in Tobruk.
In addition to this, Saleh comes from a tribe that has historically run security institutions in Tobruk.
In late June, Saleh urged Egypts Sisi to intervene militarily in support of Haftar should the Libya's forces attack the strategic city of Sirte. As a jurist and politician, Salehs demand struck many as odd.
Time and again, Saleh has proved himself a cunning politician, ready to betray even his own allies. In May last year, he met with top leaders of Haftars militias without including the warlord in the meeting. Haftar's absence stood out because he had had several disagreements with Saleh around that time. The biggest disagreement they had was over Haftar appointing himself as the sole leader of Libya, a claim HoRs vehemently rejected. The other point of confrontation between them was Haftar violating the UN-brokered 2015 political agreement.
Since then, several reports have emerged that Aguila Saleh, who prefers to be called as Supreme Commander of Armed Forces, desired to appoint Nadori as Haftar's successor.
Libyan analyst, Mohamed Buisier, recently told the Anadolu Agency that Haftar will be defeated by the end of this year as several countries, including the US, have realised that he is a war criminal, especially after his militias attacked civilians and diplomatic missions.
Given these facts, Haftars decision might be read from different perspectives.
A first scenario suggests that after considering the internal and external dynamics, Egypt could well support Aguila Saleh as Cairos new political partner and hence impose Abdulrazek al Nadoori as its new militia leader.
In addition, in the eyes of Egypt, Saleh is a bit due to both his political identity and tribal power. Sisis latest attempt to arm tribes against the UN-backed government in Libya might be seen as a part of this thought despite its early failure. In response, Haftar might want to empower Nadoori to weaken Saleh's authority. It was Saleh who first appointed Nadoori as the self-styled Libyan National Armys chief of staff in 2016.
The second scenario would be based on Haftar trying to gain the support of Saleh's militia leaders and linking them to the crimes committed by his forces. With Saleh's militias on his side, he can easily blame them for war crimes committed under his watch.
Source: TRT World
More here:
Analysis: The politics behind Haftar's devolution of power in Libya - TRT World
- Libya: UN urges restraint as military buildup threatens renewed violence in Tripoli - UN News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Greece to suspend asylum applications of migrants from Libya - DW - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump Hits More Nations With Tariff Letters Including Libya, Iraq and the Philippines - The Wall Street Journal - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Photos show migrants intercepted near Crete arrive at the Greek port of Lavrio from Libya - AP News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Shell and BP return to Libya in potential boost for tanker demand - Tradewinds News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- As tensions escalate, what is Libya's next course of action? | Daily Sabah - Daily Sabah - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Greece blocks asylum claims for migrants on island of Crete after a surge in arrivals from Libya - AP News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Hundreds of migrants moved to Greek mainland as Crete struggles with Libya arrivals - AP News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Exclusive: EU delegation ejected from Libya after diplomatic 'trap', source tells Euronews - MSN - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Expulsion of European delegation: A prelude to further escalation - The Libya Observer - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- BP to reopen office in Libya, Shell discusses prospects for cooperation in oil field development - Libya Herald - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Behind the scenes: Khalifa Haftar's son scuppered EU visit to eastern Libya - EUobserver - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- EU migration delegation ordered deported from eastern Libya on alleged entry violations - AP News - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Libya's eastern-based government bars entry of EU migration commissioner, three ministers - Reuters - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Clarification on Trademark Renewal and Re-registration Procedures in Libya - Inventa - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Photos show migrants intercepted near Crete arrive at the Greek port of Lavrio from Libya - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Where do we go from here with Libya? - eKathimerini.com - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Greece Gets Tougher on Migrants, Will Detain Arrivals from Libya - The National Herald - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Trump Hits Libya With 30% Tariff, Urges Country To Bring More Manufacturing To The US - Stocktwits - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Greece Moves to End Asylum Claims for All Maritime Migrants From Libya - The Maritime Executive - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Now The Trump Administration Travel Affected Global Travel And It Impact on Iran, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Venezuela, and North Korea: Know The... - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Photos show migrants intercepted near Crete arrive at the Greek port of Lavrio from Libya - WRAL.com - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- EU delegation forced to leave eastern Libya - InfoMigrants - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Prosecutors reveal toll of Tripoli clashes this year - The Libya Observer - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Athens adopts measured response to recent diplomatic incident with Libya - eKathimerini.com - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- More than 1,200 migrants arrive in Crete amid influx from Libya - MSN - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Libya Passenger Car Industry to Witness Strong Growth, Expected - openPR.com - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- BP, Shell eye return to Libya with fresh oilfield study deals - Quantum Commodity Intelligence - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- BP to Explore Oil Development Opportunities in Libya with National Oil Company - MarketScreener - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- BP and Shell to explore oilfield prospects in Libya - Arabian Gulf Business Insight | AGBI - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Greece detains 1,200 migrants in three days as arrivals from Libya surge - The Independent - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Libya extends condolences to US over Texas flood tragedy - The Libya Observer - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Al-Sisi calls for unified efforts to hold elections in Libya, urges withdrawal of foreign forces - Daily News Egypt - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- UNSMIL calls for investigation into death of government critic - The Libya Observer - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Is a friendly in Libya coming? Bara would have already reached an agreement - FC Barcelona Noticias - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Big Oil Bids in Libya's First Exploration Tender in 18 Years - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trkiye rejects EU declaration over deal with Libya | Daily Sabah - Daily Sabah - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Fresh pushback from Ankara over opposition to Turkey-Libya marine borders deal - eKathimerini.com - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Egypt hosts secret talks between Sudan's Burhan and Libya's Haftar in bid to mend ties, sources say - Middle East Eye - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Libya's Energy Exploration Tender: Chevron and TotalEnergies Among Key Contenders - News and Statistics - IndexBox - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Greek PM Mitsotakis and Commissioner Brunner Discuss Curbing Migrant Flows from Libya - tovima.com - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- How LA 2028 And U.S. Security Policy Are Disrupting Global Travel: Impact On Iran, Haiti, Libya, Senegal, And Venezuela, Here Is What You Need To Know... - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Libya: Battling conditions with organic growing - Hortidaily - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Trump Advisor Boulous: Elections are the only solution to end Libyas crisis - The Libya Observer - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Oil Tanker Suffers Unexplained Blast Weeks After Russia Call - Bloomberg - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Mitsotakis Wants EU to Keep Libya from Sending Refugee Boats - The National Herald - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- No injuries or pollution after explosion at oil tanker off Libya, says Greek operator - eKathimerini.com - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- 2 Greek warships begin patrolling off Libya to prevent flow of irregular migrants - Anadolu Ajans - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Libya's economy showed recovery in 2024, remained resilient despite reliance on hydrocarbons and ongoing political and security instability: World... - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Belarusian PM to Hammad: Minsk eyes cooperation with Libya in agriculture, industry, and healthcare - The Libya Observer - July 2nd, 2025 [July 2nd, 2025]
- Libya rejects European interference in maritime agreement with Turkey - The Arab Weekly - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- The Prime Minister of Eastern Libya threatens Greece - - Greek City Times - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Three Libyan companies win awards in Athens International Olive Oil Competition - Libya Herald - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Explosion Reported on Crude Tanker Off the Coast of Libya - The Maritime Executive - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Libyan and Omani Economy Ministers meet agree to activate several existing agreements and hold a business forum - Libya Herald - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Libya, Trkiye defend deal as Greece sustains objection | Daily Sabah - Daily Sabah - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Greece deploys 3 warships in the Eastern Mediterranean between Turkey and Libya - The Libya Observer - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Economy Ministry warns against speculation on the Dinar, assures gradual stability of exchange market - The Libya Observer - June 29th, 2025 [June 29th, 2025]
- Libyan Italian Forum concludes with the signing of 98 MoUs - Libya Herald - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- Greek Political Tensions Resurface Over Turkey-Libya Pact - Greek City Times - June 28th, 2025 [June 28th, 2025]
- UN urges renewed political and climate action in Libya amid humanitarian and governance crises - africanews.com - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Warehouse fire and explosion in Ajkharrah injures 18 - The Libya Observer - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Pakistan urges all stakeholders in divided Libya to address outstanding issues through dialogue - Associated Press of Pakistan - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Libya, Turkey sign MoU on offshore areas, Athens reiterates rejection - eKathimerini.com - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Remarks at a UN Security Council Briefing on Libya - United States Mission to the United Nations (.gov) - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Pakistan urges continued intl support for peace in Libya - RADIO PAKISTAN - June 26th, 2025 [June 26th, 2025]
- Greece to deploy frigates off Libya to curb increased migrant flows, PM says - Reuters - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Libya's Al-Khadim airbase becomes a hub for Russian arms in the Sahel - RFI - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Greek Navy Deploys Warships To Thwart Surge Of Migrant Vessels Off Libya - Marine Insight - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- MSF remains ready to resume medical activities in Libya - MSF - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Greek Navy Sending Refugee Hunting Patrols Near Libya - The National Herald - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- New appointments for Stability Support Apparatus and Judicial Police Authority - The Libya Observer - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Greece plans to deploy navy ships off Libya to 'send a message' to migrant smugglers - MSN - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- CBL penalizes three banks over unauthorized customer fees - The Libya Observer - June 24th, 2025 [June 24th, 2025]
- Analyst doubts impact of Berlin talks on Libya - Libyan Express - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- General Authority for Exhibitions discusses strengthening cooperation with Turkey - The Libya Observer - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Qatar reaffirms commitment to work with partners to achieve peace in Libya - The Peninsula Qatar - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- Libya's parallel government rejects Greeces drilling moves in the Mediterranean - The Libya Observer - June 22nd, 2025 [June 22nd, 2025]
- At least 60 people feared dead after shipwrecks off the coast of Libya - Al Jazeera - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]
- IOM Reports 60 Migrants Missing in Two Deadly Shipwrecks off Libya - International Organization for Migration - June 20th, 2025 [June 20th, 2025]