Progressives Lost the Election, but Their Ideas Are …
Cheer up, liberals.
JD Hancock/Flickr
Progressives, these days, are a gloomy bunch, and it's not just because of the outcomes of last week's election. As they see it, there's much to be gloomy about: Poverty levels are stuck, they say, with little improvements made in recent decades. What's more, according to the standard progressive line, income inequality is soaring, and back to levels last seen in the roaring '20s. And, to top it all off, middle class incomes are flat, or even falling.
But here's the thing: Each of these claims is a significant overstatement. In fact: Progressives have every reason to be celebrating right now. Why? Because by and large, things aren't so bad as progressives claim, and the reason things aren't so bad is because progressive policies are working. Medicare and Medicaid, Earned Income Tax Credits, tax cuts favoring the working poor, expansion of health coverage, and so onall of these policies are making Americans better off than they would otherwise be.
Poverty: Down The official poverty measure is next to useless, given that it was set in the 1960s, and fails to take account of real incomes. If we use a more robust measure, one that includes the value of government benefits and transfers and treats income taxes (and tax credits) in a plausible way, poverty has actually fallen quite sharply in recent decades:
Percent of People Living in Poverty
That decline is the consequence of successive government interventions to improve living standards for lower-income Americans. Today, government transfers and credits keep around 40 million Americans out of poverty. Seven out of eight of these people would be poor today if the safety net were only as effective as it was in 1964, according to calculations by Arloc Sherman at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Social Security alone slashes 8.6 percentage points off the poverty rate, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Poverty? Government cut that.
Inequality: Mostly in Check One of the staple progressive mantras is that income inequality is soaring, with the minority at the top vacuuming up most of the national income. But the picture is much more complex, and more positive, than that. Critically, the most dramatic figures for inequality are generated by looking at "market income"i.e. before any taxes and transfers.
Between 2000 and 2010, the biggest gains in real after-tax income were actually at the bottom of the ladder:
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Progressives Lost the Election, but Their Ideas Are ...
- Opinion | White nationalists are filling a void left by retreating progressives - The Spec - September 13th, 2025 [September 13th, 2025]
- Organizers hope new political group Elevate Oak Park will offer alternative to progressives in power - Chicago Tribune - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans plan filibuster changes that could leave progressives torn - The Boston Globe - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Progressives NIMBYs Threaten Affordable Housing In New York And L.A. - Forbes - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- EU Leader Calls to Sanction Israel as U.S. Progressives Push to End Arms Sales - The Intercept - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Glenn Beck Exposes Progressives Plot to Rewrite America and Erase God from Its Foundation - Charisma Magazine Online - September 11th, 2025 [September 11th, 2025]
- Progressives Throw Their Support To Jawando For County Executive - Montgomery Community Media - September 5th, 2025 [September 5th, 2025]
- Progressives Are Headed for Self-Imposed Extinction - AMAC - September 3rd, 2025 [September 3rd, 2025]
- The Revenge of the States: How Progressives Learned to Love Federalism - La Voce di New York - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- How a small band of determined progressives is being heard in a deep-red Missouri county - Columbia Missourian - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- Thunberg and Like-Minded Progressives Sail to GazaAgain - The European Conservative - September 1st, 2025 [September 1st, 2025]
- Progressives underestimate the danger of subway disorder - UnHerd - August 29th, 2025 [August 29th, 2025]
- Democrats withdraw two-state resolution to avoid clash with progressives on Israel and Palestinians - The Forward - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- The far right are feeding off anger. Progressives must do the same - TheNational.scot - August 27th, 2025 [August 27th, 2025]
- How Progressives Hijack Democratic Governance (yet another way!) - MacIver Institute - August 26th, 2025 [August 26th, 2025]
- Debate over empathy highlights differing views of Christian conservatives, progressives - OregonLive.com - August 22nd, 2025 [August 22nd, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - News4JAX - August 22nd, 2025 [August 22nd, 2025]
- Jurado breaks with progressives on housing bill: Im not willing to gamble losing Boyle Heights - Boyle Heights Beat - August 22nd, 2025 [August 22nd, 2025]
- Zohran Mamdani's primary win empowers progressives to run for office - Fox News - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- Democrat warns US progressives against moving toward the center: It lost me the election - The Guardian - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- In Trump's Redistricting Push, Democrats Find An Aggressive Identity And Progressives Are On Board - HuffPost - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- Progressives Well-Positioned for Burien Council Takeover - The Urbanist - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- Democratic Progressives Push Filibuster Threat - MSN - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - The Spec - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- In Trumps redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - The Boston Globe - August 20th, 2025 [August 20th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - Los Angeles Times - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - Bedford Gazette - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - The Lufkin Daily News - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - The Daily Review - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - WV News - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - Citizen Tribune - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - MSN - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - The Daily Item - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - Herald-Banner - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - thedailystar.com - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- In Trump's redistricting push, Democrats find an aggressive identity and progressives are on board - The Tribune-Democrat - August 18th, 2025 [August 18th, 2025]
- Four Policies Progressives Are Backing for the Next Big Transportation Bill - Streetsblog USA - August 14th, 2025 [August 14th, 2025]
- John Nichols on Progressives and the Trump Administration - C-SPAN - August 14th, 2025 [August 14th, 2025]
- Progressives think jailing criminals doesnt affect crime - Washington Examiner - August 14th, 2025 [August 14th, 2025]
- Even Progressives Are Warming to Free Markets - RealClearMarkets - August 14th, 2025 [August 14th, 2025]
- Burn it all: Progressives meet in the Trump-era wilderness - Semafor - August 12th, 2025 [August 12th, 2025]
- Burn it all: Progressives meet in the Trump-era wilderness - yahoo.com - August 12th, 2025 [August 12th, 2025]
- BNN IN FOCUS | By denying Israel's right to defend its citizens, the Progressives threaten Latvia's foreign policy situation - Baltic News Network - August 9th, 2025 [August 9th, 2025]
- A good Election Night for Seattles band of upstart progressives - CHS Capitol Hill Seattle News - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Democrats win special elections, progressives gain in city races - Semafor - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- I love being a mom. Why do many progressives tear down motherhood? | Opinion - USA Today - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Early success of Corbyns new party should give progressives hope for 2029 - openDemocracy - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- Its springtime for progressives again Democratic incumbents face heat from the base - UnHerd - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- The Ties That Bind Islamists and Progressives - The Free Press - August 7th, 2025 [August 7th, 2025]
- The Mamdani effect: how his win spurred more than 10,000 progressives to consider run for office - The Guardian - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- Another Summer Building the Next Generation of Constitutional Progressives - Constitutional Accountability Center - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- Barstool Sports' Portnoy disgusted at young progressives embracing socialism: 'Makes me want to puke' - Fox Business - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- A Bitcoiner's Case For Progressives: Why We Were Right To Appraoch Trump - Bitcoin Magazine - August 6th, 2025 [August 6th, 2025]
- Young progressives look to Zohran Mamdani, AOC as future of the Democratic Party under one condition - Yahoo Home - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- EDITORIAL: Democrats' civility goes out the window so progressives can pretend to be tough - Washington Times - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- Progressives join forces with teachers union amid GOP criticism of liberal agenda - MSN - August 3rd, 2025 [August 3rd, 2025]
- Young progressives say AOC, Zohran Mamdani are the future of the Democratic Party - Fox News - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- Mara Gay: Mamdani has done something special, and progressives need Black voters to make it last - MSNBC News - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- Geoff Russ: Sorry, progressives, Canada wasn't 'built on slavery' like the U.S. - Yahoo Home - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- Geoff Russ: Sorry, progressives, Canada wasn't 'built on slavery' like the U.S. - National Post - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- Can Democrats Really Pull a Reagan? How the GOP's 1980 Playbook Could Work for Progressives in 2028 - Keen On America - August 1st, 2025 [August 1st, 2025]
- Progressives never tell you what they mean by 'progress,' says podcast host - Fox News - July 30th, 2025 [July 30th, 2025]
- Opinion | Mamdani Has Done Something Special. Progressives Need Black Voters to Make It Last. - The New York Times - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Nvidia CEO says Trump gives America an advantage. Hear that, progressives? | Opinion - USA Today - July 28th, 2025 [July 28th, 2025]
- Obama: Progressives made a 'mistake' in talking about what's wrong with boys - MSNBC News - July 27th, 2025 [July 27th, 2025]
- Why young progressives shouldn't give up on Indiana or flee from it | Opinion - IndyStar - July 24th, 2025 [July 24th, 2025]
- The global situation from the perspective of the Kuwaiti progressives - Peoples Dispatch - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Where the Trump administration and Bay Area progressives agree: Psychedelics - San Francisco Chronicle - July 22nd, 2025 [July 22nd, 2025]
- Barack Obama calls out progressives' 'mistake' of constantly talking about what's wrong with boys - Fox News - July 18th, 2025 [July 18th, 2025]
- Will California progressives have their Zohran Mamdani moment? - CalMatters - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Marc Maron Amits Progressives Are a Buzzkill in HBO Special Trailer - The Hollywood Reporter - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Judge rules against progressives in a hearing on the Cherry Hill county committee election - Inquirer.com - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- Marc Maron Admits Progressives Are a Buzzkill in HBO Special Trailer: We Annoyed the Average American Into Fascism - IMDb - July 12th, 2025 [July 12th, 2025]
- From New York to Tucson Working Families committed to electing real progressives with bold vision - Tucson Sentinel - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- New York Times Mamdani smear shows how out of touch the paper is with progressives, especially on Palestine - Mondoweiss - July 8th, 2025 [July 8th, 2025]
- Progressives Must Unite Against Nigel Farage and National Populism or Reform Will Win - Byline Times - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Progressives Disdain of Genius Is a Problem for the West - Bloomberg.com - July 6th, 2025 [July 6th, 2025]
- Mamdani electrified progressives in New York. In San Francisco, the left is full of envy. - Politico - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]
- Minnesota progressives sound alarm over Trump tax bill - Minnesota Reformer - July 4th, 2025 [July 4th, 2025]