Rand Paul 2016: Inside his campaign’s downward spiral – POLITICO
Rand Paul, once seen as a top-tier contender, finds his presidential hopes fading fast as he grapples with deep fundraising and organizational problems that have left his campaign badly hobbled.
Interviews with more than a dozen sources close to the Kentucky senator, all of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity, painted a picture of an underfunded and understaffed campaign beaten down by low morale.
Story Continued Below
They described an operation that pitted a cerebral chief strategist against an intense campaign manager who once got into a physical altercation with the candidates bodyguard. And they portrayed an undisciplined politician who wasnt willing to do what it took to win a man who obsessed over trivial matters like flight times, peppered aides with demands for more time off from campaigning and once chose to go on a spring-break jaunt rather than woo a powerful donor.
They sketched a portrait of a candidate who, as he fell further behind in polls, no longer seemed able to break through. Paul, lionized as the most interesting man in politics in a Time magazine cover story last year, was supposed to reinvent the Republican Party with his message of free-market libertarianism, his vision of a restrained foreign policy and his outreach to minorities.
Instead, he has been overshadowed by louder voices like Donald Trumps and better-funded figures like Jeb Bush. His theory of the 2016 primary that Republican voters would reward a candidate who promised fresh ideas and an unconventional approach has not been borne out in reality.
At Pauls campaign headquarters on Capitol Hill, morale has begun to sink. At least one key aide recently departed, and others have had conversations with rival campaigns.
Its such a negative environment, said one Paul aide. Everyone is on edge, and no one is having any fun. They need to recapture some of their positive mojo, and fast.
***
Easily the biggest problem confronting Paul is his fundraising or lack thereof. Paul has taken in just $13 million, a fraction of what all of his major rivals for the Republican nomination have raised and far less than Paul hoped.
Those close to Paul say theres a simple reason for his lack of success: Hes simply not willing to do the stroking and courting that powerful donors expect. Hes downright allergic, they say, to the idea of forging relationships with the goal of pumping people for dough. And while hes had no shortage of opportunities to mix and mingle with some of the Republican Partys wealthiest figures, Paul has expressed frustration that donors want so much face time.
Hes even turned away the Koch brothers. When the billionaire industrialists convene their network of conservative benefactors in Southern California this week, Republican candidates like Bush, Marco Rubio and Scott Walker will be in attendance. But Paul wont be. The senator, the Koch summits baffled organizers said, turned down an invitation. Paul has said he will instead be campaigning in Iowa.
While rival presidential candidates cultivate sugar daddy contributors, Paul doesnt yet have one. Peter Thiel, the eccentric Northern California venture capitalist, had once been seen as the the kind of person who could give millions. But Thiel, who helped to fund Ron Pauls 2012 presidential campaign, is now unlikely to be a major contributor. The senator had once lavished attention on the billionaire the two had a long lunch meeting at the 2012 Republican National Convention but no longer does. Since Paul launched his presidential campaign in April, one source said, his personal contacts with Thiel have been few and far between.
At times, Paul has simply seemed uninterested in playing the donor game. Earlier this year, the senator had agreed to speak at the Dialog Retreat, a gathering hosted by Auren Hoffman, a prominent investor with deep ties in the well-heeled Silicon Valley world. But just before he was to appear at Hoffmans, Paul pulled out so that he could take his family on a spring-break excursion to Florida. Pauls aides were aghast, realizing theyd missed an opportunity to cultivate the very type of donors likely to be receptive to his small-government philosophy.
A Paul spokesman, Sergio Gor, declined to comment other than to say that scheduling conflicts come up all the time. (Hoffman did not respond to requests for comment.)
Paul had once hoped to establish a national network of bundlers who would collect cash from an array of contributors and interest groups. But as he stalls in national polls, those expectations are being scaled back. Former Ambassador Cathy Bailey and South Carolina academic and businessman Mallory Factor were among those once seen as potential major sources of funding, campaign sources said, but have begun to drift away.
In an interview over the weekend, Factor praised Paul, saying hed make an excellent president and vowed to provide him with financial backing. But others were catching his eye. Ive spoken to other candidates, he said. (Bailey did not respond to a request for comment.)
Paul has had to confront another challenge: expanding and professionalizing the activist-driven operation his father Ron used to establish himself as a libertarian force. The senator had once hoped to develop an apparatus that would allow him to nationalize his political brand but instead finds himself with a skeletal operation that has suffered from disorganization and dysfunction.
The confusion starts at the top and dates back to the campaigns earliest days. One of the first major collisions took place late last year, after Paul tapped Chip Englander, who spearheaded Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauners 2014 run, to serve as his campaign manager. At the time, Englander told those around him that he expected to have a broad list of powers typically allotted to campaign managers, including oversight of budgetary decision making, hiring and firing authority and unfettered access to the candidate.
But Pauls longtime chief strategist, Doug Stafford, had other ideas. Stafford would be running the show, the chief strategist said at the time, while Englander would be the implementer in other words, an administrative position focused simply on making the trains run on time. When word traveled back to Englander, said one source close to the campaign, he vented to others. Among his complaints: Staffords decision to bring on Marianne Copenhaver, a Web designer with a history of provocative statements. (For example, in one Facebook post, she wrote: Side note: A big fk you to Lindsey Graham and John McCain.)
Stafford is now on better terms with Englander, who was not bothered by the implementer term, campaign sources said. (Implementer is a compliment to Chip, said Gor.) The campaign manager has also taken on some key powers. Englander, for example, played a major role in hiring Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP pollster. But the early run-in created uncertainty in an organization that was just getting off the ground.
In Paul world, Stafford and Englander who share an office in campaign headquarters, their desks just a few feet apart cut diametrically opposite personalities. While Stafford, Pauls closest political confidant, has a reputation for being laid-back and introspective, Englander is known to be intense a mile-a-minute kind of guy, in the words of one friend.
At times, some in the campaign have questioned whether his intensity has gone too far and whether it will ultimately distract from his job of keeping the campaign moving. In April, Englander was in New Hampshire with Paul for a campaign event. The senator was mingling with the crowd while John Baeza, a 280-pound retired New York police detective and Paul family loyalist, stood behind him and provided security. Englander barged over, convinced that the ex-cop was getting in the way of supporters eager to snap pictures with the senator.
What the fk, Baeza? Englander said, grabbing his shoulder. Why are you always getting in our fking shot?
Dont ever put your hands on me again, the bodyguard fired back.
Two aides were taken aback at the treatment of Baeza, who is considered essentially a member of the Paul family. Gor maintained that the interaction was not out of the ordinary. It would be any senior staffs duty to ensure staff is not in the way of supporters when Sen. Paul is out on the trail, he said. (Baeza declined to comment.)
The staff serving beneath Stafford and Englander, meanwhile, is undermanned and overworked. While other presidential candidates have hired multiple aides to oversee their day-to-day scheduling, for example, Paul has only a few. The job is not for the faint of heart: In recent weeks, two overwhelmed schedulers, Cheyenne Foster, who worked on the presidential campaign, and Jessica Newman, who worked in the Senate office, have departed.
Those tasked with crafting Pauls schedule say the process is like playing a game of three-dimensional chess. Rather than letting his campaign team determine his travel schedule, as is customary for busy presidential candidates, Paul often demands sign-off on minute details, going so far as to request detailed lists of possible flight schedules and routes. Paul who has complained that running for president is not really a lot of fun can be prone to asking for time off the campaign trail and can be prickly about the most mundane commitments. Shortly before attending an event in Monterey, California, last month, he griped about having to do a photo line with supporters even though it had been on his schedule for weeks.
Another worry has been the press office, which has been overseen by two aides, Gor and Eleanor May, both of whom are regarded as competent but lacking the deep experience of many counterparts on rival Republican campaigns. While Bush has filled his campaign with senior communications strategists, Paul has no one playing that role full time.
Pauls campaign has tried in vain to add more muscle. Stafford, for example, embarked on a months-long quest to woo Josh Holmes, the top architect of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnells 2014 reelection campaign, that began last year and extended into the current one. But Holmes, widely considered a rising Republican Party star, said he was uninterested in getting involved in a primary campaign. He is instead working at a newly established political consulting firm.
Winning over top talent has at times been a frustration. At one point, Stafford talked to Danny Diaz, a hard-charging operative with a knack for digging up opposition research. (Diaz would ultimately accept the job of campaign manager for Bush.) At another, he talked to Jon Downs, a respected media strategist who worked for Pauls father. (Downs also went to work for Bush.) And early on, before Englander was tapped for the campaign manager job, the Paul team talked to Ward Baker about the post. (Baker, an ex-Marine who played a key role for the party as a strategist in the 2014 midterms, opted for a top job at the National Republican Senatorial Committee.)
Some Paul advisers may be starting to think about their future employment. Rex Elsass, a veteran media consultant who is working for the Kentucky senator, recently had a phone conversation with Beth Hansen, the campaign manager for Ohio Gov. John Kasich. In that conversation, according to one source, Elsass, who formerly worked for Kasich, told Hansen that, if at any point in the future Paul was no longer in the contest, hed be open to going to work for the Ohio governor should he still be in the race.
In a brief interview on Monday, Elsass insisted that he isnt interested in jumping. Im totally committed 150 percent to Rand, who, he said, would be the partys best nominee.
It cant be that fun over there these days. The candidate is dipping in the polls, the money is tight and its hard to tell your message that Im the anti-establishment candidate when Donald Trump is crowding out that base, said Kellyanne Conway, a Republican pollster who was brought onto Newt Gingrichs 2012 primary campaign after he endured a summer of turmoil.
This is a marathon, not a sprint, and candidates will fluctuate in the polls, said Gor. Our team will have organizational advantages like no one else. Sen. Paul continues to resonate outside of the D.C. bubble; weve had large crowds and enthusiastic support at every single stop.
But Pauls problems go beyond money or organization. In a campaign now dominated by other candidates, he has struggled to accomplish perhaps his chief objective: winning over an expansive swath of the Republican electorate, including those who didnt support his father.
Paul seems to have lost his mojo in broadening the base of his support, said Scott Reed, the chief strategist at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
Pauls allies insist that all is not lost. On the fundraising front, while Thiel may no longer be the sugar daddy they hoped hed be, another major donor may be ready to step up for the senator: Andrew Beal, a Texas banker who has a reported net worth of $11 billion. Beal, a poker-playing libertarian, has contributed $50,000 to a super PAC supporting Paul and may give far more.
There are also indications that Paul recognizes the need to broaden his tight inner circle. Chris LaCivita, a political veteran who orchestrated the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth attacks on John Kerry; Steve Munisteri, a former Texas Republican Party chairman; and Fabrizio, the longtime party pollster, have taken on increasingly assertive roles in recent weeks.
And in a crowded field of Republican candidates, Paul can lay claim to something few others can: a committed group of activist supporters who will go to work for him.
Rand has a strong team, and his support has deep, deep roots, said Jesse Benton, who managed Pauls 2010 Senate bid and is now overseeing one of his super PACs. Hell be just fine.
But with little cash, and with other candidates like Trump sucking oxygen out of the race, Paul may be running short on time.
He hasnt had a great start, and I dont know whether its too late, said Ed Rollins, a veteran of Republican presidential campaigns. Others have stepped into that void, and I dont see him in the top three or four anymore.
Read the rest here:
Rand Paul 2016: Inside his campaign's downward spiral - POLITICO
- Rand Paul: The government is open, but a hemp industry shutdown has just begun | Opinion - The Courier-Journal - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Rand Paul warns McConnell-backed provision will regulate hemp industry to death - LINK nky - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Rand Paul warns McConnell-backed provision will regulate hemp industry to death - the-messenger.com - November 14th, 2025 [November 14th, 2025]
- Senator Rand Paul threatens to delay government reopening over hemp language - The Independent - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Black Tie CBD Stands with Senator Rand Paul to Defend the Future of Legal Hemp and THCA Products - Reuters - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Rand Paul wants hemp vote to speed up shutdown endgame - Politico - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Republican Senator Uses Trump Post to Dunk on Rand Paul: Common Sense Is Illegal - Yahoo - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Rand Paul demands vote on hemp amendment before proceeding with tally to open government - Washington Examiner - November 11th, 2025 [November 11th, 2025]
- Itll take them 5 days': Rand Paul could be obstacle to quickly ending shutdown - Politico - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Republican Senator Uses Trump Post to Dunk on Rand Paul: Common Sense Is Illegal - Mediaite - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Trump Drags Rand Paul for Blocking Bill to Withhold Pay From Senators: He Wanted to Be Paid! - Yahoo - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- U.S. Sen. Rand Paul hopeful ongoing discussions will end government shutdown - WCHS - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- RAND PAUL: THE SWAMP SMILES FOR EVERY CONCESSION MADE BY THE GOP "Tonight the process of opening the govt begins. Less chaos is a good thing but... - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Warns Against Regime In Venezuela: 'Risks Empowering The Very Cartels We Are Trying To Defeat' - Latin Times - November 10th, 2025 [November 10th, 2025]
- Rep. Thomas Massie announces marriage to former staffer of Sen. Rand Paul - WLWT - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Senators Tim Kaine and Rand Paul on Tariffs and U.S. Trade - C-SPAN - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rep. Thomas Massie announces his marriage to former staffer of Rand Paul - WAVE News - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Rep. Thomas Massie marries ex-Rand Paul staffer a year after wifes death: Of course we served raw milk! - New York Post - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul blasts health care subsidies for rich people as shutdown drags on - Fox Business - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Civilized People Dont Do This! Rand Paul Torches Trumps Insane Strikes on Alleged Drug Boats - Yahoo - November 5th, 2025 [November 5th, 2025]
- Opinion - Bill Straub: Rand Paul shows backbone in recent efforts to kill Trump's damaging tariff policy - NKyTribune - November 3rd, 2025 [November 3rd, 2025]
- Kentucky Senator Rand Paul urges compromise to open government - WAVE News - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Takes to Fox News Sunday to Condemn Trump Over Shutdown Gridlock, Extrajudicial Killings On Suspected Drug Boats - Yahoo - October 30th, 2025 [October 30th, 2025]
- How Rand Paul says Congress can work together to end government shutdown - The Courier-Journal - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- PolitiFact FL: Is Rand Paul right 25% of Coast Guard searches of suspected drug boats come up empty? - WLRN - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul calls for immediate action to pay federal employees and end shutdown - LEX18 - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- US warships in Caribbean, Rand Paul reaction - WPSD Local 6 - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Pitches Novel Shutdown-Solving Idea to Trump - NOTUS News of the United States - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- GOP Sen. Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Admin Over Strikes Off Venezuelan Coast: 'Akin To What China, Iran Do' - Latin Times - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- 'They are afraid': Rand Paul thrashes fellow Republicans for not having the 'guts' to stand up against Trump in fear of being ostracized - The Mary... - October 28th, 2025 [October 28th, 2025]
- Rand Paul: "In the one instance you're killed on sight. On the other instance, if you're captured, we just say, 'Oh well, we're gonna send you... - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Says 20 GOP Senators Are Grumbling Over Trump Policy But Dont Have the Guts to Criticize the President - Yahoo - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Recipe for Chaos: Rand Paul Piles on More Harsh Trump Criticism After Being Called Nasty Liddle Guy - Yahoo - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Colin McEnroe (opinion): Chasing unity with Rand Paul and Aaron Rodgers - CT Insider - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- SEN. RAND PAUL: TRUMP IS CARRYING OUT SUMMARY EXECUTIONS OF VENEZUELANS "I would call them extrajudicial killings. This is akin to what China... - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rand Paul on Trump's strikes on boats: "I would call them extrajudicial killings. This is akin to what China does, what Iran does with drug... - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Trashes Republicans for Always Caving to Trump - The New Republic - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Rand Paul: Trump could see all hell break loose with further involvement in Ukraine, Venezuela - Yahoo - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- GOP Senator Rand Paul Cut From Fancy White House Lunch for Voting Against Trump - The Daily Beast - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Rand Paul pokes back at Trump after snub from White House reception - USA Today - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul says he was not invited to Rose Garden lunch - Politico - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams Trump Admin For Strikes On Alleged Drug Boats: 'It's Summary Execution!' - HuffPost - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Over Strikes On Alleged Drug Boats Off Venezuela: 'A Lot Of Reasons To Be Worried' - Latin Times - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul says he was not invited to Republican luncheon - WNKY - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul to Newsmax: Persistent Critic of Overspending - KABC-AM - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul visits Johnson County to talk Eastern Kentucky tourism - Mountain Top Media - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Rand Paul: 'All of these people have been blown up without us knowing their name' - Politico - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul explains why he is voting against spending bill - WDRB - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul responds to Trump post calling him a 'nasty' guy. What he said on 'Meet the Press' - The Courier-Journal - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Awkwardly Confronted About Trump Calling Him a Nasty Liddle Guy - Yahoo - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Thought He Could Get Away with Bucking Trump. He Was Wrong. - NOTUS News of the United States - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Responds Humbly to Trump Calling Him 'Nasty Little Guy': 'Still One of His Best Supporters' | Video - TheWrap - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul Again Slams Trump Over Military Pressure On Venezuela: 'Regime Change Isn't Always What You Expect' - Latin Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Donald Trump posted a vicious attack on Rand Paul, but it hasnt scared the loyal senator away. - Yahoo - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul questions legality of Trump administrations strikes on alleged drug traffickers - Washington Times - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Kentucky US Sen. Rand Paul explains why he is voting against spending bill - WDRB - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Rand Paul says he will support paying federal employees but not ending shutdown: Full interview - Yahoo - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul says Caribbean boat strikes 'go against all of our tradition' - NBC News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul introduces tourism project for EKY - WKYT - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Senator Rand Paul highlights new tourism initiative to boost Eastern Kentucky economy - LEX18 - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEWS WITH UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY, SEN. RAND PAUL AND SEN. TIM KAINE THIS SUNDAY ON MEET THE PRESS WITH KRISTEN WELKER... - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Trump Slams Rand Paul After He Moves To Block Military Pressure Campaign Against Venezuela: 'Nasty Liddle' Guy' - Latin Times - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Senator Rand Paul announces new organization to focus on Eastern Kentucky tourism - WOWK 13 News - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Rand Paul COVID vaccine theories aren't helping to bridge public health divide | Opinion - Yahoo - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Rand Paul COVID vaccine theories aren't helping to bridge public health divide | Opinion - The Courier-Journal - October 15th, 2025 [October 15th, 2025]
- Press Release: Rand Paul Proposes Amendment to Terminate Federal Reserve's Assistance to Major Banks in 2026 NDAA - Quiver Quantitative - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Republican Sen. Rand Paul Set To Cosponsor Initiative To Prevent Trump Admin From Striking Boats In The Caribbean - Latin Times - October 11th, 2025 [October 11th, 2025]
- Press Release: Chairman Rand Paul Introduces Safeguarding Personal Information Act of 2025 - Quiver Quantitative - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- Article | Rand Paul blocks Senate extension of cyber information sharing law - POLITICO Pro - October 9th, 2025 [October 9th, 2025]
- There has to be someone who 'believes debt is a problem,' says Sen. Rand Paul - Fox Business - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul weighs in on government shutdown, believes it will be 'short lived' - Yahoo - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Press Release: Senator Rand Paul Releases Report on TSA's Targeting of Veterans and Lawmakers - Quiver Quantitative - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul: Bidens TSA Targeted Veterans, Lawmakers, Mask Critics, and Air Marshals Wife - The Daily Signal - October 4th, 2025 [October 4th, 2025]
- Rand Paul Slams GOP Funding Bill on Fox News Warns It Will Wipe Out DOGE Cuts - Yahoo - October 2nd, 2025 [October 2nd, 2025]
- Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul appears on 'Face the Nation' on CBS - WLKY - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Sen. Rand Paul says he would "prefer not to have troops" in Portland, but supports Trump's action - CBS News - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Transcript: Sen. Rand Paul on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Sept. 28, 2025 - Yahoo - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Targeted by Trump, Rep. Thomas Massie teams up with Rand Paul for district tour - Louisville Public Media - September 30th, 2025 [September 30th, 2025]
- Trump-targeted GOP congressman Massie tours his Kentucky district with support from Sen. Rand Paul - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - September 28th, 2025 [September 28th, 2025]
- Rand Paul quips Kimmels thanks is first time Ive ever been on his program - Kentucky Lantern - September 25th, 2025 [September 25th, 2025]