Economic hardship and anxiety have accelerated the Republican Partys radicalization, experts say – The Boston Globe
It wasnt, of course. Lively ultimately realized that the QAnon theories were false, but only after hitting bottom last summer, when she destroyed a coronavirus mask display in a Target store and posted video of the incident that went viral.
Her experience highlights how economic hardship and anxiety have served as accelerants in the radicalization of the Republican Party, experts said, part of a complex mix that includes racism along with other factors such as sexism and xenophobia and long-simmering resentment of the expansion of the federal government.
And being out of work leaves many people angry, with the time to latch onto conspiracy theories and get involved in politics.
The economic component has brought QAnon to people who otherwise would never have been involved in it, said Lively, who sought treatment afterward and now disavows QAnon. Its exploded in popularity because people are desperate.
But researchers said the role of the economy in the rightward shift of many Republicans extends beyond the unemployment line, factoring into the insecurities of white Americans that began decades ago with the onset of globalization, as well as newly empowered people of color and women benefiting from the civil rights and feminist movements. They all helped fuel the Tea Party movement during the Great Recession, Donald Trumps presidential campaign, and the rise of QAnon during the trauma of the pandemic.
An analysis this month by The Washington Post found almost 60 percent of the people facing charges in connection with the Jan. 6 insurrection at the US Capitol had signs of financial problems over the past two decades, including bankruptcies and unpaid taxes.
We often see right-wing social movements when groups are experiencing economic loss, political loss, or status-based loss, said Rory McVeigh, a sociology professor at the University of Notre Dame and author of the 2019 book The Politics of Losing: Trump, the Klan, and the Mainstreaming of Resentment.
The uneven recovery from the Great Recession, with wealthier people and regions bouncing back more quickly than the rest of America, created the conditions for Trump to exploit in his 2016 run for president, he said. The median wealth of middle-income families declined by a third from 2007 to 2016, while upper-income families saw their median wealth increase by 10 percent, according to the Pew Research Center.
Why was the angry populist message resonating? Well, a lot of people didnt really benefit from the recovery, and Trump was able to . . . appeal to that population, McVeigh said. The economic-populism message infused with racism, infused with sexism, spoke directly to the monster that had grown in the Republican Party.
Experts caution not to overstate the impact of economic distress in radicalizing people. Some are just racists, resisting the diminished influence of white men in society.
The data and a lot of the literature would suggest its more cultural and racial than economic, said Antoine Banks, director of the Government and Politics Experimental Lab at the University of Maryland. Its not that economics wasnt there, but it wasnt the main fuel behind it.
Christopher Sebastian Parker, a professor of social justice and political science at the University of Washington who has studied the Tea Party movement and Trumps supporters, said complaints about economic circumstances are primarily just a cover for people who dont want to acknowledge their racism.
They feel like theyre losing their proprietary grip on America and its because of these rapid social changes, he said.
In December, Parker and Rachel M. Blum, an assistant political science professor at the University of Oklahoma, surveyed nearly 2,000 supporters of Trumps Make America Great Again movement whom they reached through social-media ads featuring the slogan. They found half had middle-class incomes and at least 60 percent were white, Christian, and male. The results echoed what Parker had found previously, including for his 2013 book, Change They Cant Believe In: The Tea Party and Reactionary Politics in America.
The Tea Party movement proclaimed that it had economic underpinnings. It began amid the deepening Great Recession and the 2008 financial crisis, as well as the election of Barack Obama as the nations first Black president. Many Americans who already were struggling as manufacturing jobs shifted overseas and technological skills became more crucial in the workplace found themselves in dire economic circumstances. They focused their frustrations on Washington, opposing the federal governments bank bailouts and Obamas push to expand access to health care.
The average Republican base voter is a middle-aged older white person, and the problem was their lives were changing, seemingly overnight. They were losing their jobs. They were losing their industries, said Joe Walsh, an Illinois Republican who rode the Tea Party wave into Congress in 2011. A lot of it was resentment at the way this 1954 life they loved was changing overnight.
Polls showed that many in the Tea Party movement believed the lie promoted by Trump and others that Obama was not born in the United States. Walsh acknowledged there was a racism component of the movement, but said he doesnt think it was the prevailing viewpoint.
Tea Party backers advocated reining in the federal government, which had shifted to full Democratic control in 2009, and reducing the national debt. But he said that Republicans, who gained the House majority in 2011 and the Senates in 2015 on the strength of Tea Party activism, were unable to enact the major changes the movement wanted. That opened the door for Trump to radicalize many of the activists amid a sluggish economic recovery, Walsh said.
Tea Party people around the country got disenchanted, and Trump tapped the economic impact that people were feeling, said Walsh, who lost reelection in 2012 after redistricting and launched a primary bid against Trump in 2019. This whole economic nationalist strand took over.
Former Tea Party supporters became some of Trumps biggest backers in his 2016 campaign and through his first year as president, the Pew Research Center found in 2019. And their concerns about government debt, which continued to rise under Trump, largely disappeared after he replaced Obama.
The insecurity is real in an economic sense, but the genius of Trumps populism was to tie it into a notion that theres an injustice, said Adam Hilton, an assistant professor of politics at Mount Holyoke College who has studied the relationships between social movements and political parties. He spoke to some legitimate and factually based questions about the economy, but also xenophobia and racism and immigration.
Some political scientists refer to the dynamic as status threat.
A Black president, an economic crisis, and massive forms of government intervention, Hilton said. That provided an opportunity for people to feel very nervous about living in a country that they dont seem to recognize anymore.
Lively said she didnt have time for politics before the pandemic and didnt even vote for president in 2016. She said she voted for Trump in November solely on the basis of the economy and his support for Israel.' But her views of him changed after the election.
I have found all of the shenanigans post-Nov. 3 to be absolutely ludicrous and quite frankly embarrassing for anybody who espouses any sort of conservative values, said Lively, who is writing a memoir titled You Cant Cancel Me The Story of My Life.
But during her darkest financial times last year, she was open to believing anything QAnon was espousing, she said.
The reason why QAnon started with weirdos in basements is because all of the normal people were out living their lives before the pandemic, and the pandemic completely changed the paradigm, she said. When people are employed and people are busy theres no time to be spending 10 hours a day watching conspiracy videos on YouTube.
Jim Puzzanghera can be reached at jim.puzzanghera@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter: @JimPuzzanghera.
- The first splits are emerging in Trumps new Republican party - The Telegraph - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- What's next for this popular Republican governor after he leaves office? - Fox News - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Republican Bill To End The Department Of Education Introduced - Forbes - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Im President of the Harvard Republican Club. Being Republican at Harvard Has Never Been Better. - Harvard Crimson - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Virginias likely Republican nominee for governor reflects on her priorities, reentry into politics - WTOP - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Republican launches Assembly bid in 36th district - New Jersey Globe | New Jersey Politics - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Democrats no longer 'party of the people' as Trump transforms Republican Party: NY Times analyst - Fox News - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- This week in Bidenomics: The Republican economy takes off - Yahoo Finance - November 26th, 2024 [November 26th, 2024]
- Trump's Republican Party is increasingly winning union voters. It's a shift seen in his labor pick - The Associated Press - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Column: With veto power back, N.C. Democrats have restored a safeguard against Republican extremism - The Daily Tar Heel - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- House Republican Bills Deeply Cut Programs That Help Low-Income People and Underserved Communities - Center on Budget and Policy Priorities - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Letter: What does the Republican Party stand for? - INFORUM - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Meet the Republican and Democratic senators of the 119th Congress - The Washington Post - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Trumps agenda will face hurdles in Congress, despite the Republican trifecta of winning the House, Senate and White House - The Conversation - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Congressional Republican Leaders Start to Show Their Hand: Draconian Medicaid Cuts on the Agenda for Next Year - Georgetown Center for Children and... - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Republican blocks promotion of general involved in Afghanistan withdrawal - The Guardian US - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- North Texas Republican wants to zero out the budget for any public university president offering LGBTQ studies - WFAA.com - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Republican Senator on DOJ political interference: I dont think we know that one way or the other - The Hill - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Gov. Newsom announces jobs initiative in California county that flipped to Republican support - CBS News - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Jamelle Bouie: Its a republican form of government, not a monarchy. With explicit intent - St. Paul Pioneer Press - November 24th, 2024 [November 24th, 2024]
- Trump got a red trifecta in Washington. But will he face any Republican Party pushback? - USA TODAY - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- The Republican and Democratic parties are killing electoral reform across the US - The Guardian - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Inside the Republican false-flag effort to turn off Kamala Harris voters - The Washington Post - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Trump, Republican Congress Health Care Proposals Could Pose Risks to Access and Affordability - Center on Budget and Policy Priorities - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republican Victory and the Ambience of Information - The New Yorker - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republican Leaders Are More Afraid of Trump Than Ever - The Atlantic - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Pence Urges Republican Senators Not to Confirm R.F.K. Jr., Citing His Support of Abortion Rights - The New York Times - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republican John Thune of South Dakota is elected the next Senate majority leader - ABC News - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Dan Newhouse, Republican who voted to impeach Trump, wins reelection - Axios - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Oregon House Republican leader cites endless drama with his party as reason for departure - OregonLive - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- What a Republican trifecta will mean for governing - The Economist - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- When is the last time a Republican has won popular vote? Trump would be first in 20 years - USA TODAY - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Republican sweep in Texas also extended to states appellate courts - The Texas Tribune - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Six GOP lawmakers poised for power on health care as the Senate flips Republican - STAT - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Trump wins Alaska, for the 15th consecutive Republican victory in the state - Alaska Beacon - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- California Republican who impeached Trump wins reelection - The Hill - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Republican Christi Craddick reelected to Railroad Commission, the states oil and gas regulatory agency - The Texas Tribune - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Nevada on verge of voting Republican for first time in two decades - The Guardian US - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Inside the Republican victories in suburban New York: 'fed up with one party Democratic rule' - Fox News - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- In Georgia, its Republican vs. Republican as election misinformation spreads - CNN - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- Republican mega-donors asked their employees who they will vote for in survey - The Guardian US - November 8th, 2024 [November 8th, 2024]
- A Unified Republican Congress Would Give Trump Broad Power for His Agenda - The New York Times - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- The Republican Supreme Court just blessed an illegal voter purge, in Beals v. Virginia Coalition for Immigrant Rights - Vox.com - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- How Connecticut transformed from a Republican state to among the most Democratic - CT Insider - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- How attacks on Republican voters became the third rail of partisan politics - Semafor - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- Democratic Senator tries to swim upstream in increasingly Republican Ohio - Reuters - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- We have to blow it up: can never-Trumpers retake the Republican party? - The Guardian US - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- Opinion | A Democratic and a Republican Pollster Agree: This Is the Fault Line That Decides the Election - The New York Times - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- In Montana, Republican Tim Sheehy Tries to Outrun Jon Tester, and Scrutiny - The New York Times - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- I was the director of the Michigan Republican Party. I will vote for Kamala Harris. - City Pulse - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- Polls and prediction markets are signaling a Republican sweep in the election - Fortune - October 31st, 2024 [October 31st, 2024]
- NY Republican in critical House race spent huge sums of campaign cash on steakhouses, booze, Ubers and a foreign hostel - CNN - October 28th, 2024 [October 28th, 2024]
- 'Republican voters remain overwhelmingly committed to Trump, whatever he may say or do' - Le Monde - October 28th, 2024 [October 28th, 2024]
- Trump and the millionaires: How the Republican Party bet on the very, very rich - Semafor - October 28th, 2024 [October 28th, 2024]
- Michigan's election fate will depend on laborers. A Democrat and Republican outline what those workers are looking for. - Business Insider - October 28th, 2024 [October 28th, 2024]
- Voters must find Trump unworthy of high office (The Republican Editorials) - MassLive.com - October 28th, 2024 [October 28th, 2024]
- Opinion | How Donald Trump Jr. Conquered the Republican Party - The New York Times - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Nothing is more important than your health - Marshalltown Times Republican - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Deciphering the Republican campaigns strategy to win the Latino vote: They speak the same to everyone - EL PAS USA - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Trump has made gains with Latino men. Why they're voting Republican and how Harris is addressing it. - NBC News - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Speaker Mike Johnson fights to save the House Republican majority and his job - NBC News - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Republican lawsuits over overseas and military voting hit setbacks in 2 swing states - NPR - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- History-making Republican who was first and only woman speaker of Ohio House dies - WYSO Public Radio - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- What to know about Republican challenges to overseas and military voting - NPR - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Early-voting data shows Republican reversal appears to be paying off - The Washington Post - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Opinion | How Would Trump Handle Foreign Policy in a Second Term? Two Republican Experts Tell Us. - The New York Times - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Which Republican Might Join a Harris Cabinet? We Asked Around. - The New York Times - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Michigan judge rejects Republican bid to block overseas voters - Reuters - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Georgias Republican secretary of state finds just 20 noncitizens registered to vote out of 8.2 million - CNN - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Republican Early Vote Turnout Is Up In Battleground States - Newsweek - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- A lifelong Republican transitions to a new party, years after gender reassignment surgery - The Associated Press - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Republican Club of Northeast Volusia County donates over $8,000 to Barracks of Hope - Palm Coast Observer and Ormond Beach Observer - October 26th, 2024 [October 26th, 2024]
- Republican vice-presidential nominee JD Vance to visit Wilmington. Here's what to know - StarNewsOnline.com - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- Column | The most Republican and Democratic cuisines, according to campaign funds - The Washington Post - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- Letters to the Editor: The Republican Partys future is bright, even if Trump loses - Los Angeles Times - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- Dont ignore Republican attacks on the U.S. Constitution | READER COMMENTARY - Baltimore Sun - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- North Carolina Republican pushes back on hurricane misinformation: "Nobody can control the weather" - CBS News - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- Hurricane Milton Will Be Devastating. Republican Lies Are Going to Make It Worse - Vanity Fair - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- How hurricane falsehoods are dividing the Republican Party - The Washington Post - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]
- Column: Donald Trump seems to think he's losing. Would the Republican Party survive his defeat? - Los Angeles Times - October 12th, 2024 [October 12th, 2024]