Can Republicans Actually Pass the AHCA in Two Weeks? – Slate Magazine
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell at an interview in Washington on May 24.
Joshua Roberts/Reuters
If Senate Republicans want to meet their goal of passing a health care bill by the Fourth of July recess, they have exactly two weeks to do it. Congress is scheduled to recess at the end of business on June 30, which means Republicans have to move at breakneck pace while keeping debate to a minimum. Whats the rush? For any Americans who are aware that the Senate is racing to pass a tightly guarded health care billand if the GOP strategy works, there wont be many of them!Republicans are hoping their outrage dissipates over the holiday weekend. And the world goes on.
Jim Newell is a Slate staff writer.
Passing this secretly developed, still-unfinished bill within two weeks would be a world historic achievement in underhanded policymaking. Put another way: This is the moment Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell was born for. This, reader, is his jam.
Ask a different member of the Senate Republican leadership whether they are sticking to the June 30 deadline, and youll get a different answer. Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn, the No. 2 Republican, has always been more of an end of July guy. South Dakota Sen. John Thune, the No. 3 Republican, treats it as more of a hope or an aspiration, a way of focusing the mind.
McConnell and his team, though, have not been deterred from the goal of a floor vote before the July4 recess, the Washington Post reports. [A]s McConnells team sees it, the options have all been vetted. Now, the difficult decisions about what to put in and leave out of the final bill are all that remain.
Much of the media has been operating under the assumption that the Congressional Budget Office would need two weeks to score the Senates legislation. Thats why senators were hoping to finalize the language by Monday night. Its now Friday, and the language still isnt finalized. But the CBO and Senate Republicans have been interfacing on legislative options for a while now, and leaders hope that the score could come quicker since CBO wouldnt be building an analysis from scratch. As Wyoming Sen. John Barrasso told Talking Points Memo, the issues theyre dealing with are dial-able so you can say, If you set this number, it does this and if you set that number, it does that. In other words, the CBO is just waiting for decisions on certain inputsgrowth rates for Medicaid spending, the length of the Medicaid expansion phase-out, expiration dates for certain taxes, lists of regulatory waivers that will be available to states, and so forth. Perhaps CBO could get a score done in, say, one week.
This is the moment Mitch McConnell was born for. This, reader, is his jam.
So whos going to make those tough decisions about which inputs to include? Its definitely not going to be all the Republican senators, and theres definitely not going to be anything like consensus reached. Pennsylvania Sen. Pat Toomey and Ohio Sen. Rob Portman, for example, are never going to agree about the proper growth rate for Medicaid. It will be up to McConnell and Cornyn to choose the proper balance that gets their conference closest to the 50 votes they need to pass the bill. Thats the phase they appear to be in right now. On the Hill Thursday afternoon, individual senators like Portman, Toomey, and Maine Sen. Susan Collins were ducking into McConnells office. The brainstorming sessions are finished, and now its about determining what each senator can live with.
Now, what about the Democrats? Lets be generous and say McConnell settles on a recipe by over the weekend, and the CBO begins scoring early next week. The score comes back early the following week, and McConnell posts the bill. Is there much Democrats can do to stop it?
One theory among progressive activists is that Democrats could leverage the vote-o-rama process. Under reconciliation rules, senators can offer an unlimited number of amendments during the 20-hour debate period; after the debate, each filed amendment would be considered with an up-or-down vote. That rapid-fire voting session is referred to as a vote-o-rama.
Ezra Levin, an executive director with Indivisible, suggested on Twitter this week that Democrats should extend the vote-o-rama well past a long nights work. He urged Democrats to threaten to filibuster by amendment, by filing tens of thousands of amendments to clog up chamber through the 2018 midterms.
But McConnell would have recourse. Though McConnell could let Democrats have their fun for a little whileat least to give off the veneer of a transparent, open processhe can eventually motion that the amendment process had become dilatory, the chair would rule in his favor, andbarring some appeals and other motions to draw the process outthe vote-o-rama would be finished. It might still be worthDemocrats while to push ahead this way,though,to see how long they candraw out the processbefore McConnell breaks, and to please their base.
Top Comment
No man, when he hath lighted a candle, covereth it with a vessel, or puttethitunder a bed; but settethiton a candlestick, that they which enter in may see the light. More...
It comes down to this: If McConnell and a majority of senators want to rush this secret bill to a vote before the Fourth of July recess, then they can. McConnell needs 50 votes for the bill, and he needs 50 votes to bust through whatever procedural roadblocks Democrats lay before him.
Some Republican senators have begun to speak out against the secrecy of the project, noting that it makes them uncomfortable. That discomfort, however, has not been palpable enough for them to exert real leverage over the way McConnell has conducted the process so far. Any three Republican senators could have told the majority leader in early May that they wouldnt vote for the bill unless it went through the normal open committee process. Maybe they didnt think it would get this bad. Or maybe they agree with him: Speed and secrecy is the only way to do this.
Read more here:
Can Republicans Actually Pass the AHCA in Two Weeks? - Slate Magazine
- Pennsylvania Republicans who narrowly won their House seats feel the heat of early votes back home - The Associated Press - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- "It could be trouble": Republicans fear their big budget win is actually a 2026 time bomb - Axios - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Opinion | Republicans Need to Learn Government Unions Cant Be Trusted - The Wall Street Journal - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- How Democrats, Republicans Reacted To Trump-Zelensky Clash - NDTV - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Republicans don't care about fixing the economy. Americans need them to start. | Opinion - USA TODAY - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Republicans and Elon Musk Are Also Causing a Constitutional Crisis in the States - Mother Jones - March 1st, 2025 [March 1st, 2025]
- Some Republicans fear Medicaid cuts could cost them their jobs - The Washington Post - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Opinion | House Republicans are betting big on pain - MSNBC - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans voice DOGE concerns in meeting with White House chief of staff - NBC News - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- House Republicans hit the brakes on town halls after blowback over Trump's cuts - NBC News - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- In uproar over low test scores, Republicans try to shift blame to DEI, social emotional learning - Maine Morning Star - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Budget plan: Long and extremely divisive process ahead for Republicans - The College of Arts & Sciences - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Eyeing a friendly Supreme Court, Republicans in Georgia and other states push for the Ten Commandments in schools - WABE 90.1 FM - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Congressional Republicans Budget Plans Would Force Americas Working Class To Foot the Bill for Tax Cuts for the Wealthy - Center For American Progress - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Republicans Are Now Trapped by Their Own Budget - Newsweek - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Majority of Republicans nationally identify as MAGA for first time in Unity Poll - Vanderbilt University News - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Republicans Once Wanted Government out of Health Care. Trump Voters See It Differently. - Kaiser Health News - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Rep. Fredericks Statement on U.S. House Republicans Budget - Minnesota House of Representatives - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Poll: Majority of MD Republicans, independents have considered leaving the state - wmar2news.com - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Analysis | Republicans could be touching the third rail on Medicaid - The Washington Post - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Republicans press House leadership for help as they face pressure over DOGE cuts at home - CNN - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Trumps firing of military brass prompts concern but little pushback from Republicans - The Associated Press - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Some Republicans Sharply Criticize Trumps Embrace of Russia at the U.N. - The New York Times - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- Republicans who got an earful from constituents have message for Trump and DOGE - ABC News - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- House Republicans Vote to Gut Medicaid for Tax Cuts After Pressure From Trump - Truthout - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- House Republicans press ahead with budget vote amid revolt - Axios - February 27th, 2025 [February 27th, 2025]
- After heated town halls, Republicans seek more information and compassion from DOGE - NBC News - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Stefaniks Confirmation Is on Ice as Republicans Guard Their Scant Majority - The New York Times - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- House Republicans unfazed by protests: Were moving forward with the cuts - POLITICO - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- The few Republicans who still oppose Trump gather in search of a path to oppose him - The Associated Press - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Republicans idolize DOGEs Gen Z techies: The young guns are taking over the country for the better - Fortune - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Dems are preparing to blast Republicans on health care. It worked in 2018. - POLITICO - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- House Republicans face headwinds as they seek to pass budget for Trump's agenda - NBC News - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- House Republicans Plan to Renew Effort to Expand Trial Courts - Bloomberg Law - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- At town halls, Republicans feel the heat from Trump and Musk's firing and cutting spree - NBC News - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Opinion | Trump and state Republicans are giving liberal residents the blues - The Washington Post - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Brooks and Capehart on Republicans facing backlash over federal cuts - PBS NewsHour - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- North Carolina Republicans are Trying to Throw Out College Students Votes to Steal an Election - Teen Vogue - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- House Republicans ready to roll the dice on budget blueprint - Roll Call - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Republicans put the sick in sycophancy as they compete to fawn over Trump - The Guardian US - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Some Republicans shrug off DOGE protests and town halls - Axios - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Republicans condemn Gov. Evers bill for changing mother to inseminated person - WMTV - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- US Senate Republicans push to pass border bill without Trump tax cuts - Voice of America - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- As Trump Turns Toward Russia and Against Ukraine, Republicans Are Mum - The New York Times - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- California Assembly Republicans attempt to force vote on bill to address 'hidden gas tax' - ABC10.com KXTV - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Republicans Face Backlash, and the Dangers of Fake A.I. Therapists - The New York Times - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- In window before special election, House Republicans push for votes on their agenda - MPR News - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Its a race for NJ governor, but Republicans want to focus on immigration - POLITICO - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Live updates: Musk calls for judge impeachment; Republicans aim to hammer out Trump's budget bill - The Hill - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Republicans race to release plans to advance Trump policy agenda in Congress - NPR - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Americans, including Republicans, now fear higher inflation this year - CNN - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- How Republicans won on DEI and wrestled the topic from Democrats - The Independent - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans advance bill to ban use of student IDs when voting - WFYI - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Republicans in Congress mostly shrug as Musk and DOGE set sights on spending - NPR - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Republicans say they are nearing deal on Trump's tax cuts, divided on cost - Reuters - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans release budget blueprint ahead of Wednesday markup - POLITICO - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Oregon Republicans respond to Trump order on trans athletes by touting state legislation - Oregon Public Broadcasting - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- With US House stymied, Senate Republicans prepare to move on Trump agenda - Reuters - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Georgia Republicans advance bill to make Atlanta let the Fulton County sheriff use its jail - The Associated Press - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- With House Republicans stuck, Senate pushes ahead with its plan to fund Trump's agenda - ABC News - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Republicans insist they could eventually restrain Trump and Musk - Semafor - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Andy Ogles and Mike Lee, congressional Republicans, introduce bill to repeal D.C.'s home rule - Washington Times - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Trump details his tax agenda in meeting of House Republicans - POLITICO - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- How the White House convinced skeptical Republicans to back RFK Jr., Gabbard and Hegseth - CNN - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: HOUSE REPUBLICANS ARE DOING THE BIDDING OF AN UNELECTED, OUT-OF-CONTROL BILLIONAIRE PUPPET MASTER Congressman Hakeem Jeffries -... - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- OUR VIEW: Find your courage, Republicans. Trump is president, not the 'Wizard of Oz' - Madison.com - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Republicans Break With Trump On Proposed Gaza TakeoverHeres What To Know - Forbes - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Republicans conflicted on Trumps pitch to own Gaza: I thought we voted for America First - The Guardian US - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- House Republicans to work through weekend on budget package - Roll Call - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Senate Republicans insist Elon Musk isn't in charge after whirlwind actions - ABC News - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- DeSantis goes to battle with Florida Republicans in trying to get closer to Trump - The Associated Press - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- Registered Republicans lead Democrats in Nevada for the first time in 20 years - The Associated Press - February 9th, 2025 [February 9th, 2025]
- US House Republicans divided over how to pay for Trump's tax cuts - Reuters - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ramaswamys expected run for Ohio governor would test experienced Republicans and tradition - WTOP - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Column | Republicans try to look forward, but Trump forces them back to Jan. 6 - The Washington Post - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ramaswamy's expected run for Ohio governor would test experienced Republicans and tradition - Beaumont Enterprise - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Republicans plan slew of reconciliation meetings at their Florida retreat - POLITICO - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- $124 Billion in Federal Benefits on House Republicans Chopping Block - AFGE - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ballots from Helene-damaged areas are among the 65,000 that Republicans want to throw out in North Carolina - CNN - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Article | More Republicans back IRA tax credits in reconciliation fight - POLITICO Pro - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]