Reeling Republicans take one last shot at Obamacare – Politico
Twenty-three years ago, President Bill Clinton and Senate Democrats canceled two weeks of the August recess to pass a major health care bill. They got nowhere.
Now Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is trying the same thing with the GOP for the August break, and it may lead to the same result.
Story Continued Below
Im hoping for better this time, said Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) on Tuesday afternoon after saying earlier he was very pessimistic the GOP would succeed. In 1994, Democrats kept us in and we didnt accomplish anything.
In fact, McConnell would like to finish health care well before August. Though he pulled a vote in June, Republicans say they are serious about completing their work in the coming days.
There will be a vote to advance the bill next week, McConnell said Tuesday. And even if it fails, he made clear to his members at a party lunch that there will be no more false starts despite an increasingly downbeat feeling in the caucus.
New text of the proposal will be made public Thursday, and a Congressional Budget Office analysis is expected on Monday.
Were in gridlock, said Sen. John McCain of Arizona. He added sarcastically: Now were going to look at a new approach. And were going to get a CBO estimate on Monday. Yay!
Sen. Ron Johnson, a conservative holdout, called it a "political blunder" that McConnell started the health care debate as a partisan, all-Republican effort.
Get the latest on the health care fight, every weekday morning in your inbox.
By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time.
"Its just not smart politically," the Wisconsin senator said.
McConnell spoke to President Donald Trump over the weekend about health care, a source familiar with the conversation said. The White House is distracted by Donald Trump's Jr.s deepening Russia scandal but Trump "definitely wants [health care] done," the source said.
McConnell's new timetable comes as his party is mired in a tug of war among its ideological factions and clearly lacking the 50 required votes to even advance the bill.
An amendment written by Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Mike Lee ofUtah is fracturing the conference, with the measure taking center stage at the partys first caucus lunch in nearly two weeks on Tuesday. Though the proposal to allow the sale of cheap, deregulated insurance plans is championed by the right, other Republicans say it would undermine their promise to keep Obamacares protections for people with pre-existing conditions.
There will be two drafts of the new bill text and two scores, senators said: One with the amendment, the other without. McConnell and his team have not decided whether the divisive measure will be included in the base bill. That decision will determine whether Cruz, Lee and other reluctant Republicans even vote to open debate on the bill.
McConnell is urging senators to use the bills open amendment process to alter the measure to suit their concerns, according to senators and aides.
"I just can't imagine not voting to proceed to the bill when you've got an open amendment process," said Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee. "If you don't like what ends up happening, you can vote no, can you not?"
But many senators suspect McConnell will introduce a substitute measure at the end of the amendment blitz next week that would overwrite any alterations during the bill's "vote-a-rama." And GOP leaders believe if the debate begins, the vote would pass.
If they start the debate that will mean Im confident that we will get there before its over, said Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn of Texas.
Republicans were told on Tuesday the latest draft is likely to keep some of Obamacares taxes on the wealthy and Medicare to help lower premiums for people with low incomes, provide $45 billion to fight opioid addiction and allow people to pay premiums with pre-tax money. It does not appear there is yet a solution for moderates and people from Medicaid expansion states, many of whom gathered on Tuesday to strategize.
I'm not optimistic that its going to be a bill that I can support. But obviously Ill withhold judgment until I see it. It sounds to me like it does not make a lot of major changes," said Sen. Susan Collins. The moderate senator is concerned that future spending reductions to Medicaid would cripple rural hospitals in her state.
Sen. Rand Paul, one of the GOPs most vocal opponents from the right, said he hasnt heard anything that would change his position, even if the amendment by Cruz and Lee is attached.
I promised to repeal it, the Kentucky lawmaker said of Obamacare. I didnt promise to permanently codify that the federal government will buy peoples insurance, subsidize their insurance and then throw a big pool of money at the insurance companies.
The GOP strategy to pass the bill, he said, is the kitchen sink right now theyre just throwing more money at everything.
Indeed, deal-seeking Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) said he was convening a group of senators to write a new bill to replace Obamacare. It's not clear how Graham's plan would align with McConnell's work, though he said he believed he could get the support of some Democrats.
That could be helpful, considering how divided the Republican conference is over the issue.
The Cruz and Lee amendment lacks support, and its future has been complicated by a game of telephone between GOP leaders and the two conservative senators. After much back and forth among McConnell, the two conservative senators and CBO, the amendment was rewritten again on Monday, two sources said.
Republicans have asked CBO to analyze two versions of their bill, according to senators: one with the Lee and Cruz amendment and one without the provision. The dual scores could set up a showdown between the Senates conservative standard-bearers and other Republicans.
It is unclear whether the CBO score for the Cruz and Lee proposal will be ready in time for next weeks vote on starting debate on the bill.
Republican senators and aides were expected to meet with the Senate parliamentarian on Tuesday about what health care reforms the Senate rules allow. But the Cruz and Lee proposal doesnt have 50 Republican votes at the moment to survive, senators said.
They have an amendment that I have no objection to, said one Republican senator, before adding, I dont think they have the votes to keep it.
Cruz and Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) met for a private breakfast on Tuesday. The two started the Senates working group on health care several months ago and disagree on the effectiveness of Cruz and Lees amendment.
Critics say that bifurcating the insurance markets will result in healthy people buying deregulated insurance and sick people buying insurance under Obamacare regulations, creating a large and costly risk pool of people with pre-existing conditions.
Theres been a good deal of discussion about the amendment and potential changes to it, Alexander said. "Were still discussing it.
More moderate GOP senators are hoping the measure can be altered to win support of the conference rather than divide it. Some Republicans want to see the risk pools for healthy and sicker people linked in some way so that it prevents sick people from seeing their premiums spike.
The hope is that the amendment still lowers premiums here but doesnt create this kind of death spiral over there, said Sen. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, who said he has spoken with Cruz about the idea.
Adam Cancryn, Josh Dawsey, Austin Wright and Jake Lahut contributed to this report.
Missing out on the latest scoops? Sign up for POLITICO Playbook and get the latest news, every morning in your inbox.
Read more:
Reeling Republicans take one last shot at Obamacare - Politico
- Republicans suddenly think the economys great and the election wasnt rigged - POLITICO - November 17th, 2024 [November 17th, 2024]
- Big voter turnout this year benefited Republicans, contradicting conventional political wisdom - The Associated Press - November 17th, 2024 [November 17th, 2024]
- A study found that Xs algorithm now loves two things: Republicans and Elon Musk - The Verge - November 17th, 2024 [November 17th, 2024]
- Cole says Republicans should be working with Trump to try and achieve his objectives - The Hill - November 17th, 2024 [November 17th, 2024]
- What They Are Saying: Republicans Disgusted by Trumps Ultra-MAGA Gut Punch With Gaetz Pick - Democrats.org - November 17th, 2024 [November 17th, 2024]
- The Disturbing Reason Senate Republicans Might Greenlight All of Trumps Nominees - Slate - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- House elections produced a stalemate. Can Republicans figure out how to work with a thin majority? - The Associated Press - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- House Republicans applaud Trump's picking Kennedy to lead HHS -- with a few concerns - ABC News - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Trump is already testing Congress and daring Republicans to oppose him - The Associated Press - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans Are Leaving Office for Trump Posts. How Will the Vacancies Be Filled? - The New York Times - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans retain their hold of the House, clinching full control of Congress - NPR - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- NY Republicans may kill congestion pricing in Congress if Trump can't nix the tolls - Gothamist - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Trump is already testing Republicans, and some seem unwilling to defy him - The Washington Post - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Election 2024 highlights: Republicans win House majority of 218 seats - The Associated Press - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- What Republicans could do with their power as they secure control of House and Senate - PBS NewsHour - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans win the House and cement party trifecta for Trump - BBC.com - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- New York Republicans now have an Elise Stefanik-sized void to fill - POLITICO - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Schumer to Republicans: Please dont do to us what we were going to do to you - Washington Examiner - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans finally win the coveted trifecta - The Economist - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans will retain House majority, CNN projects, completing GOPs dominance of Washington - CNN - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- What Republicans are saying about Matt Gaetzs nomination for attorney general - The Associated Press - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans Maintain House Majority, Clinching Trifecta of Government Control - TIME - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- WATCH: House Republicans ready to deliver, Johnson says as GOP readies for new Trump era - PBS NewsHour - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- House Republicans strike deal on motion to vacate, making it harder to oust speaker - ABC News - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans Ran a Dysfunctional House. Voters Shrugged and Re-elected Them. - The New York Times - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans begin picking their next leaders in Congress - NPR - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans Try to Block Counting of Undated Ballots in Pennsylvania - Democracy Docket - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans Win Control Of The HouseGiving Trump Unified Government - Forbes - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Column: Victorious Republicans are once again falling for the mandate trap - Los Angeles Times - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans won the House. Now comes the hard part. - ABC News - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- As Trump Staffs Up, House Republicans Watch Their Expected Majority Shrink - The New York Times - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Could Matt Gaetz Face GOP Revolt? What Senate Republicans Have Said - Newsweek - November 16th, 2024 [November 16th, 2024]
- Republicans on the verge of clinching control of the US House - The Guardian US - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Florida Republicans are thrilled about Susie Wiles with one big exception - POLITICO - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Women fear Republicans will move to overturn no-fault divorce laws - The Washington Post - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Democrats and Republicans agree on one thing: any lessons learned from Trump 2.0 will be immediately forgotten - The Guardian - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Republicans win control of the Senate; House remains up for grabs - NBC News - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Hill Republicans ready ambitious agenda as they hope for full sweep of Washington - CNN - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Republicans will flip the Senate, CNN projects, shifting balance of power in Washington - CNN - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Republicans flip the US Senate, ending three years of Democrat control - Al Jazeera English - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Republicans reassert their dominance in Texas - The Texas Tribune - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- For Trump and Republicans in Congress, everything is in play on tax cuts - The Washington Post - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- With Republicans Claiming the Senate and Possibly the House, Congress Expected to Reverse Course on Climate - InsideClimate News - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Missouri voted for abortion-rights amendment and Republicans who vow to overturn it - Missouri Independent - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Republicans Make Early Inroads in Their Fight to Keep the House Majority - The New York Times - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Harris Tried to Win Over Republicans. Democratic Support Collapsed Instead - Rolling Stone - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- 'Republicans for Harris' Campaign Reported to FEC - Newsweek - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- The Death of Never Trump Republicans? - U.S. News & World Report - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Georgia: how this pivotal swing state flipped back to the Republicans - The Conversation - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- What Republicans can do with their new power and where theyll struggle - Semafor - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Republicans see possible path to total control of Washington - The Washington Post - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- How close are Republicans to retaining the House? Results show it's tight - Scripps News - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Control of the Senate went to the Republicans but what about the House? - NBC New York - November 10th, 2024 [November 10th, 2024]
- Georgia Republicans, Trump campaign file lawsuit to halt counties 'illegally accepting' early voting ballots - Fox News - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Republicans' Chances of Winning the Senate, the House and the White House - Newsweek - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- If Donald Trump wins, these are the Republicans he'll lean on to pass his priorities - USA TODAY - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- I visited a deeply divided Pennsylvania and found Republicans repeating an enormous lie - The Guardian US - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Republicans supporting Harris say "Whisper Caucus" could swing the election - NC Newsline - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Opinion | Do Republicans like Trump in spite of what he says, or because of it? - The Washington Post - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Here Are the Republicans Voting For Harris Over Trump - TIME - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Republicans probably will try to repeal CHIPS Act that drew Micron to Central NY, House speaker says - syracuse.com - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Opinion | My Fellow Republicans, Its Time to Say Enough With Trump - The New York Times - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Kansas Republicans welcome surge in advance voting after adopting Democratic Party tactic - Kansas Reflector - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Republicans are betting big on trans issues. Following through could prove harder. - POLITICO - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Republicans Closing Argument: We Will Wreck the Economy - Bloomberg - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- 'Obamacare' enrollment opens, as Republicans threaten the health insurance program used by millions - The Associated Press - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Johnson vows health care overhaul if Republicans win in November elections - CNN - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- More than half of Oregon Republicans have turned in their ballots - OregonLive - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Trump says its tough for Republicans to win the popular vote - The Hill - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Senate Republicans could block Trump from putting RFK Jr. in the Cabinet - Semafor - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- These Georgia Republicans Are Over Trump. Will They Vote for Him Anyway? - The New York Times - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Republicans dominate fundraising in final weeks of Texas House battles - The Texas Tribune - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- With Tucker Carlson, Elon Musk and Donald Trump, Republicans strict father has become the creepy uncle - The Conversation - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- The Republicans I know arent cruel or criminal. And I know they still exist | Opinion - Kansas City Star - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Buddy Carter among Republicans not backing Trump's pledge to scrap Inflation Reduction Act - Savannah Morning News - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Forty years after Ronald Reagan was re-elected , Republicans want Reaganism back - The Conversation Indonesia - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Election turnout by the numbers: Republicans top Democrats in voting in Volusia, Flagler - Daytona Beach News-Journal - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Jimmy Kimmel Makes Case Against Donald Trump in Plea to Moderate Republicans: Hes the Exact Meeting Point Between QAnon and QVC - Variety - November 4th, 2024 [November 4th, 2024]
- Sen. Lindsey Graham to Republicans supporting Harris: What the hell are you doing? - NBC News - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]
- Republicans and Democrats Are Both Preparing for Long Legal Battles Over the 2024 Election Results - TIME - October 21st, 2024 [October 21st, 2024]