Republican caucus bill is offensive. Democrats should ignore it. – Iowa Capital Dispatch
I have some advice for the Iowa Democratic Party: Tell Bobby Kaufmann to buzz off.
Or, if youd like, substitute a different four-letter word. Either way, he deserves it.
Kaufmann, a Republican state representative from Wilton, has proposed using the power of the state to dictate the inner workings of the opposing political party. Specifically, hes proposed a billin the Iowa House that would force Democrats to hold their presidential caucuses in person. The plan would forbid mail-in ballots, which Democrats have been planning to use next year.
Kaufmanns meddling is not only offensive, but its arguably unconstitutional. Ill get to that in a minute. First, though, lets debunk the BS that Kaufmann uses to explain why hes introduced this scheme.
He says hes trying to protect the caucuses and behelpfulto Democrats by distinguishing Iowa from the first-in-the-nation New Hampshire primary. Mail-in ballots, his says, would make the Democratic caucuses look more like a primary and prompt New Hampshire to jump ahead of Iowa.
This is nonsense. How Democrats run their caucuses has no impact on the Republican calendar. As for being helpful, no politician ever does anything to help the opposing political party when it comes to elections. So cross that off your list; its baloney.
Even if Kaufmann was trying to be helpful to the Democrats (he isnt), this isnt the 2000s. Bill Gardner, New Hampshires former secretary of state, doesnt control the presidential calendar. Besides, Democrats booted New Hampshire from its privileged spot in 2024, just like it did Iowa, so the Live Free or Die state is having a hard enough time defending itself; its in no position to dictate what other states do.
There may be some merit to the worry Republicans have that if Democrats dont have to caucus in person, some of them could meddle in the GOP caucuses. But even if thats a legitimate and substantive concern and Im not sure that it is this bill is clearly overkill. The bill also requires that caucus participants register with a party 70 days ahead of time.
If Iowa Democrats are to regain a spot in the partys early window in 2028 (which is a long shot, anyway), theyll have to make it so more people can participate in the caucuses. This is why Iowa Democrats initiated mail-in balloting to begin with, to try to keep its leadoff spot in 2024.
Unfortunately for them, it didnt work.
President Joe Biden, who has never been treated well by Iowa, upended the traditional calendar to prioritize South Carolina, Georgia and Michigan. He did well in those states and he needs them next year so hes rewarding them accordingly.
Thats politics. When Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were president, it was in their interests to keep the calendar the way it was. Why do you think Donald Trump didnt change things? Because he loves Iowa? Please. He got elected under the current system, so he kept it in place.
Notably, Kaufmann is also a senior Trump adviser for 2024. What do you figure the odds are that theres an angle to this bill that helps Trump next year?
Heres my second piece of advice for the Iowa Democratic Party: If the Legislature passes this bill and Kim Reynolds signs it into law, toss it in the trash. Thats where it belongs. Do the caucuses the way you want. If that means using mail-in ballots, then so be it.
Fortunately, IDP Chair Rita Hart seems to beleaning in that directionalready. Thats good. Instead of fighting the DNC, fight Iowa Republicans. Theyre the real threat. And if you want to tell Bobby Kaufmann to **** off again, feel free. It will probably be cathartic.
Normally, I dont like the idea of disregarding the law, but in this instance, Democrats shouldnt hesitate.
This scheme offends the conscience and probably the Constitution. Since when does a state government get to tell national political parties how they run their internal affairs like this?
Iowa does have a law that says the states presidential caucuses must go before the nations first primary, but its constitutionality has long been in doubt.
As former Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller wrote in a 1996 opinion: The US Supreme Court has long recognized the rights of political parties to control their own internal nomination and delegate selection processes and has struck down state statutes that abridged those rights.
This new proposal probably falls into the same category.
In other words, the Iowa Legislature has no business, and probably no right, to regulate in this area. (The party of small government, my sweet aunt.)
If Republicans do pass this nonsense, Democrats should eagerly challenge it in court. Or better yet, dare Republicans to try to enforce it. This would be good policy and good politics. If Democrats can kill the existing law, too, it would eliminate any doubt and give the party more flexibility for the future. A win over the Republicans also would help lift the spirits of Democrats who have mostly been on the losing end lately.
Heres the truth: Kaufmanns plan is just another effort by Republicans to tilt Iowas electoral playing field in their direction. The GOP has spent years making it harder for Iowans to vote by mail. Theyve shortened the voting window and added more complications in the hopes of tripping people up so they can exclude their ballots. And since Democrats rely on mail-in balloting more than Republicans, they know this helps Republican candidates.
Republicans also know that if Iowa Democrats were ever to regain a spot in the early voting window, it would help them in future general elections. We saw this in 2004 and 2008 when robust Iowa caucus cycles kept the Democrats stoked for the fall. In 2016, it helped Republicans in the same way. Eliminating any chance Democrats have of regaining an early spot in the calendar will only help the GOP.
Republicans may not need this advantage now. They are pretty much running Iowa from head to toe. Still, party leaders know that in politics, nothing is forever. It wasnt that long ago that Republicans had total control in Wisconsin, but conditions have changed and just this month, liberals won a key Supreme Court race, a sign that even in the industrial Midwest, Democrats are still alive.
That pulse hasnt yet made its way down the river to Iowa yet, but who knows what will happen in the future? Remember, it was only 15 years ago that Democrats controlled all the levers of state government in Iowa.
It probably never occurred to Democrats back then to mess around with the Republicans internal rules. But thats no surprise. Thats been the tradition.
Unfortunately, those days are gone. For todays Republicans, nothing is off limits, especially if it gives them an unfair electoral advantage. Such arrogance. (Theyre even doing an end run around regular legislative rules to consider this bill.)
So, by all means Democrats, use your favorite invective phrase to tell Bobby Kaufmann and his crowd what they can do with this bill. Then, ignore it.
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