Schapiro: Va. Republicans on defense over redistricting – Richmond.com
That was then. This is now.
In 1999, Republicans snapped Democrats century-long run on legislative power by promising Virginians a General Assembly that would be fair and balanced. Except for a brief Democratic hiatus in the Virginia Senate, Republicans remain the dominant party at Mr. Jeffersons Capitol because of redistricting, a practice that is anything but fair and balanced.
To keep it that way, House Republicans are spending taxpayer money: at least $2.6 million so far for private lawyers to defend their hyperpartisan gerrymandering. That bill will balloon the longer Republicans litigate the longer they refuse to legislate a remedy to a problem the public increasingly recognizes as an obstacle to managing the peoples business.
This past week, a Richmond trial court and the U.S. Supreme Court, through important procedural and technical decisions, nudged Virginia closer to removing naked partisanship from the process of drawing legislative lines and stripping Republicans of the artificial advantage with which they retain the statehouse even as they endure a long, bitter retreat statewide.
Over the wishes of Republicans, Circuit Judge Ry Marchant cleared the way for a trial later this month on whether as alleged by a redistricting reform group, OneVirginia2021 nearly a dozen districts in the House of Delegates and state Senate violate a Virginia constitutional requirement that their boundaries be compact, creating seats that reflect a regions shared characteristics, or so-called communities of interest.
The Senate districts were actually drawn by Democrats because they controlled the chamber at the time. It is a reminder that Democrats, too, are anything but innocent when it comes to the Darwinism that drives redistricting.
In this instance, survival is a consequence of creative cartography and the slender Democratic majority that made it possible.
The fight in Marchants courtroom will likely continue in the Virginia Supreme Court, which has yet to establish standards for determining the compactness of House and Senate districts.
It is an issue largely avoided in some of the courts recent rulings on redistricting. In 1992 and 2002, when upholding Democratic and Republican plans, respectively, the court allowed that the legislature has broad latitude in crafting districts.
The U.S. Supreme Court ordered a do-over by a three-judge trial court that upheld 11 majority-black House districts that Democrats contend intentionally eroded African-American voting strength in surrounding areas, thus protecting Republicans.
The justices said the trial court must reconsider the districts, using narrower guidelines that could make it easier to prove that race illegally guided Republicans.
Perhaps forgotten in these two disputes: They focus on redistricting plans in place since 2011. Because they have perpetuated Republican legislative hegemony and hostility to depoliticized redistricting the struggle over House, Senate and congressional boundaries fully shifted to the courts.
This has kept the issue in plain view and created fresh opportunities for Republican resistance; notably, running down the clock.
The trial in state court and the reconsideration by the federal court mean that the redistricting fight will drag on for months, preserving the contested boundaries on which the Republicans 2-to-1 majority in the House rests.
Those lines, paired with the low turnout of an off-year election that magnifies the strength of the narrowing Republican base, could be a firewall against Democratic challenges fueled by anti-Trump rage in a state that tipped to Hillary Clinton. Democrats, so far, have candidates for about 30 Republican seats. But holding the House could mean little for Republicans and their long-term goal of controlling the legislature into the 2030s.
For that to happen, Republicans need one of their own elected governor this year and for their majorities in the House and Senate to survive the 2019 elections. Then, Republicans would be in 2021, as they were in 2011, in full command of redistricting, happily drawing the friendliest lines, confident that the governor would sign them into law and, no doubt, triggering another years-long tussle in the courts, again financed by taxpayers.
This should call attention to the role of Ed Gillespie, the supposed front-runner for the Republican gubernatorial nomination, in legislative gerrymandering, not just in Virginia, but across the country.
It is becoming a Democratic talking point, with Tom Perriello and Ralph Northam rivals for their partys nomination for governor signaling they would use the veto to stop a lopsidedly Republican redistricting plan.
Gillespie was chairman of the Republican State Leadership Conference, the national organization that supplied the money and minds necessary to install GOP majorities in the state legislatures, which, in turn, draw congressional seats.
Because Republicans now hold two-thirds of the nations legislative chambers, it is no surprise that they are comfortably in charge of the U.S. House of Representatives.
These days, Gov. Terry McAuliffe is practically mimicking Gillespie, a political opponent but a personal friend from their many days together lolling in the Washington swamp as chairmen of their national parties. McAuliffe is joining former President Barack Obama and top members of his administration in an effort to give Democrats an upper hand in redistricting.
So when McAuliffe brays about nonpartisan redistricting, Republicans justifiably guffaw as they did on Wednesday, when the governor responded to the U.S. Supreme Court decision by proposing they quit their pricey court fight and consent to an independent panel redrawing the 11 disputed House districts. McAuliffes offer only steeled Republican intransigence.
But as long as the redistricting issue is before the courts, Republicans face a peril. Judges could rule against them, forcing adjusted boundaries and, in the process, creating districts hostile to the GOP.
In the federal case, the ripple effect of court-ordered shifts could cause headaches in the Richmond area for Manoli Loupassi, John OBannon and Jimmie Massie. Even the mastermind of the 2011 House Republican plan, Chris Jones of Suffolk, could have problems.
Republican lawyers believe that 2019 is the earliest that House seats could be reset should the party lose in court. History suggests otherwise, perhaps auguring a special election next year.
In 1981, federal judges rejected as racially biased a Democrat-drawn House redistricting plan. In their ruling, the judges said it was too late to fix the offending districts.
But the court decreed that delegates, elected for two years, could only serve for one under the flawed plan; that they would have to stand in new districts in a special election in 1982 and, again, in 1983 for a full term. In those three consecutive elections, Republicans would pick up seats, gaining momentum toward their historic takeover in 1999.
That was then. This is now.
Contact Jeff E. Schapiro at (804) 649-6814. His column appears Wednesday and Sunday. Watch his video column Thursday on Richmond.com. Follow him on Facebook and on Twitter, @RTDSchapiro. Listen to his analysis 8:45 a.m. Friday on WCVE (88.9 FM).
Read this article:
Schapiro: Va. Republicans on defense over redistricting - Richmond.com
- The five California Republicans who could lose their seats in Congress if Prop 50 passes - The Mercury News - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Dugan, Republicans want higher voter turnout - Northeast Times - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Democrats try to keep up with Republicans in national redistricting war - Washington Examiner - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Need good-willed Republicans to stand up - The Philadelphia Tribune - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- What Ohio Republicans hope to accomplish by the end of the year - Spectrum News 1 - October 26th, 2025 [October 26th, 2025]
- Republicans are barreling toward an Obamacare subsidy cliff with no unified plan - Politico - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans who once opposed Trumps military impulses now lower their guard - The Washington Post - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans Shouldnt Cave to Democrats Shutdown Demandsand Heres Why - Congressman Mike Simpson (.gov) - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES ON CNN: "REPUBLICANS REFUSE TO REOPEN THE GOVERNMENT BECAUSE OF THEIR UNWILLINGNESS TO PROVIDE AFFORDABLE HEALTHCARE" -... - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Column | Republicans struggle to explain shutdown of the House - The Washington Post - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- The five California Republicans who could lose their seats in Congress if Prop 50 passes - The Press Democrat - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans push to overturn prop 4 with direct ballot initiative - KUTV - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- How Republicans are trying to steal the midterms before they even start - MSNBC News - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans, dont get tricked by Democrats on Obamacare subsidies - The Foundation for Government Accountability - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Editorial: Most Americans dont think either Democrats or Republicans care about them - Hazleton Standard Speaker - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- "They Will Kill You": BC Republicans speaker urges audience to be willing to die for conservative beliefs - National Catholic Reporter - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans push medical cannabis bill, but is there enough support? - Wisconsin Examiner - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Press Release: Heinrich and Lujn Criticize Republicans for Blocking Pay for New Mexico Federal Workers Amid Trump Shutdown - Quiver Quantitative - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans Up in Arms After Texas Dem Makes Throat-Slash Gesture While Vowing to Wipe Them Out - Yahoo - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Sen. Nelson statement on the federal government shutdown - Minnesota Senate Republicans - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Schumer calls on Republicans to come back to Washington and address ACA tax credits - WXXI News - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Rep. Bollin: Washington needs to end political games and reopen federal government - Michigan House Republicans - October 24th, 2025 [October 24th, 2025]
- Republicans have a rare beef with Trump over suggestion he'll import red meat - NBC News - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Senate Republicans considering bill to keep SNAP benefits flowing amid the shutdown - Politico - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Republicans are losing the political battle over the shutdown - MSNBC News - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- What Young Republicans say when they think no ones listening - vox.com - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Republicans are beefing with Trump over beef - USA Today - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Three Weeks into GOP Shutdown, Rep. Chu Slams Republicans for Causing a Nationwide Health Care Crisis and Ignoring Families in Need - Representative... - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Senate Republicans head to the White House in a show of unity as the shutdown enters its 4th week - PBS - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Lawler, House Republicans Urge Speaker Johnson to Address Health Care Costs After Senate Votes to Reopen the Government - Congressman Mike Lawler... - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Republicans arent negotiating an Obamacare extension yet. But theyre getting ready. - Politico - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Congresswoman Brown Stands with Constituents - Calls for Republicans to Reverse Health Care Cuts - Representative Shontel Brown | (.gov) - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Republicans may have run out of time on ACA tax credit changes - Axios - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Republicans have shut down the government for three weeks because they dont want to help Americans afford health care but the Trump White House found... - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- NC Republicans' redistricting effort update. Plus, 'Tales from the Haunted South.' - WUNC - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: REPUBLICANS WOULD RATHER KEEP THE GOVERNMENT SHUT DOWN THAN PROVIDE AFFORDABLE HEALTHCARE Congressman Hakeem Jeffries - Congressman... - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Indiana state Senate Republicans don't have the votes to push gerrymandering, yet - Yahoo News Canada - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Coleman Measure on School Weapon Incidents Headed to Governor - Pennsylvania Senate Republicans - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Indiana Senate Republicans say they dont have the votes for redistricting, but Gov. Braun isnt giving up - WNDU - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Indiana Republicans Say the Votes Arent There for Trumps Redistricting Push - NOTUS News of the United States - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- QPoll Shows Republicans Blamed More For Shutdown, Slight Gains For Trump And Congress - CT News Junkie - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Indiana Senate Republicans say they dont have the votes for redistricting - WNDU - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Charlotte Republicans call for action on 60-day mark of Iryna Zarutskas death - WSOC TV - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Who will blink first to end the government shutdown: Democrats or Republicans? | 5 o'clock Face Off - KTAR News 92.3 FM - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Article | Republicans arent negotiating an Obamacare extension yet. But theyre getting ready. - POLITICO Pro - October 23rd, 2025 [October 23rd, 2025]
- Senate Republicans head to White House amid stalemate on shutdown - AP News - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Kansas Young Republicans' texts expose the rotten underbelly of their party. Why do leaders care? - Kansas Reflector - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Sen. Mark Kelly says government shutdown could wrap up this week if Republicans "sit down and have a negotiation with us" - CBS News - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- California Republicans ready to play Trump card over Prop 50 - Politico - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Meanest people I have ever met: Chat leak resurfaces internal fights among Young Republicans - Politico - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- The murky future of the Young Republicans - Politico - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Watch live: Johnson, Republicans address reporters on shutdowns 20th day - The Hill - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Its our decision: Senate Republicans give Trump cover on shutdown - Roll Call - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- U.S. Republicans in Congress put Russia sanctions bill on hold - Ukrinform - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene Brutally Warns Republicans Theyll Lose The House - HuffPost - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Senate Republicans head to White House amid stalemate on shutdown - The Tri-City Record - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- The extremism permissive structure that led to the Young Republicans' chat - The Contrarian - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- MTG warns Republicans will lose the House in midterms if they dont help with rising everyday costs - Yahoo - October 21st, 2025 [October 21st, 2025]
- Republicans Target Democrats Over Transgender Policies in This Years Races - wsj.com - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Jeffries warns of swift and decisive legal action if Republicans refuse to seat Grijalva - The Hill - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Trump wants to get rid of mail voting. Pa. Republicans are urging voters to use it. - 90.5 WESA - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Vermont Republicans gather to discuss local issues and party reorganization efforts - WCAX - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- JD Vance ignores public backlash in refusing to condemn racist group chat by Young Republicans - Milwaukee Independent - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- What Michigan Republicans are saying in response to No Kings protests - ClickOnDetroit | WDIV Local 4 - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Trump turns up the pressure on Indiana Republicans to redistrict - Politico - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Republicans Should Be AfraidJust Look at Who Joined No Kings Protests - The New Republic - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- New York State Young Republicans organization disbanded amid fallout over racist group chat report - CBS News - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- ICYMI: Rosen Talks to Nevadans Affected by Republicans Refusal to Extend Affordable Care Act Tax Credits, Reopen Government - U.S. Senate (.gov) - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- David M. Drucker: Republicans are becoming the party of big government - Pioneer Press - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- Trump can't run again. It's Republicans who have to answer for him with voters. | Opinion - USA Today - October 19th, 2025 [October 19th, 2025]
- After Racist Texts, New York G.O.P. Is Set to Disband Young Republicans - The New York Times - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Opinion | Are these young Republicans the future? If so, the partys in trouble. - The Washington Post - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Some GOP leaders call for resignation of Young Republicans who allegedly texted slurs, racist messages - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and... - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- LEADER JEFFRIES: REPUBLICANS CONTINUE TO DO THE SAME EXACT THING AND EXPECT DIFFERENT RESULTS. THATS THE CLASSIC DEFINITION OF LEGISLATIVE INSANITY ... - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- NC Republicans release map they hope will help GOP pick up another Congressional seat - WUNC - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Vance again downplays Young Republicans texts, looks to shift attention to Virginia AG race - Politico - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Schumer Calls on Trump and Vance to Condemn Young Republicans Texts - The New York Times - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Pressley Slams Republicans for Raising Healthcare Costs for Families, Shutting Down Government - House.gov - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Vance on Young Republicans chat: Thats what kids do - The Hill - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]
- Speaker Johnson on Day 16 of the Democrat Shutdown: While House Republicans Help American Families Navigate the Democrat Shutdown, House Democrats are... - October 17th, 2025 [October 17th, 2025]