The Republicans’ Ukraine conspiracy theory is going mainstream – The Week
Sign Up for
Our free email newsletters
Republicans are getting to the rock-bottom of it.
They have defended President Trump throughout the public impeachment hearings by arguing his gangster efforts to force a Ukrainian investigation into its (imagined) interference in the 2016 election were actually completely legitimate. Rep. Devin Nunes (R-Calif.) has made this point repeatedly, assailing Democrats for their alleged collaboration with Ukrainian election interference efforts and asking, as he did during former Ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovitch's testimony, "what is the full extent of Ukraine's election meddling against the Trump campaign?"
If you're unfamiliar with the paranoid depths of the right-wing media universe, this kind of talk probably puzzled you. But make no mistake: The Ukraine fantasies peddled by House Republicans are nothing less than a concerted attempt to do what the GOP has done with all of Trump's misconduct since the beginning of his presidency to use a combination of denial and redirection to foment skepticism and doubt about the underlying charges.
In this case, the Ukraine meddling red herring is used to justify Trump's obstructive acts and his attempts to extort the Ukrainian government into opening an investigation in exchange for military aid and a White House visit. And if Democrats don't begin a major effort to dismantle this nonsense in public, they may very well lose the battle for public opinion in the same way they allowed themselves to get outfoxed with the Mueller probe.
When referencing the Ukraine ideas, Democrats have called them "discredited" and "debunked" over and over again, which of course they are. But referring to them as such does nothing to prove it to voters who don't read Vox explainers and Washington Post investigative reports. To the kind of "pox on both houses" voters whose mood swings might determine the outcome of the 2020 election, all they hear is people from two parties they hate yelling at one another and accusing each other of the exact same things.
One important reason Democrats must be better prepared to fend off Ukraine-related conspiracy mongering is that Attorney General Barr is preparing some kind of ginned-up report that will line up neatly with Republican efforts in the hearings to pin 2016 election interference on Ukraine. It will suck all of the oxygen out of the proceedings for days or even weeks. Earlier this year, Barr tasked U.S. Attorney John Durham with investigating the origins of the various Trump-Russia investigations in 2016, which culminated in the appointment of Special Counsel Robert Mueller in 2017. The Department of Justice recently revealed, ominously, that this was now a criminal probe. Barr himself has been jet-setting around the world looking for confirmatory evidence.
What's it all about? There are two Ukraine-related conspiracy theories, which are likely to converge in the coming weeks as GOP efforts to save Trump accelerate. The first involves the infamous Russian hacking of the DNC in the spring of 2016, which led to months of leaked emails disseminated via Wikileaks, whose release was often timed to inflict maximum damage on the Clinton campaign. In his July 25 phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky, Trump asked him about "Crowdstrike" and the "server." This references a truly insane, far-right fantasy that in fact it was Ukraine, in collaboration with the Clinton campaign, that hacked the DNC and then blamed it on Russia to make the Trump campaign look guilty.
In this make-believe world, Crowdstrike cofounder Dmitri Alperovitch is a Ukrainian (he is actually an American citizen who serves as a fellow on the august Atlantic Council) who absconded back to his country with the server, and the FBI had to take their word for it that Russia was culpable. Back on Earth-1, on the other hand, Crowdstrike provided the FBI with all of its forensic data, no serious person disputes that Russia was responsible for the hacking, and there is no single "server" which can be physically transported to Kiev.
The Crowdstrike lunacy has not yet been affirmatively advanced by Republicans in these hearings, although no one should be surprised if it is. But the idea that Ukraine was responsible for triggering the FBI's counterintelligence probe into the Trump campaign has now gone mainstream.
The story goes like this: Corrupt Ukrainians fabricated a "black ledger" implicating former Trump campaign director Paul Manafort in various forms of corruption when he was a key advisor to former Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych, a pro-Russian stooge, so that the Trump campaign's May 2016 hiring of Manafort as campaign manager would look especially suspicious. In this telling, the incident in which Trump campaign staffer George Papadopoulos bragged to an Australian diplomat about how Russia had stolen dirt on Clinton was actually a CIA set-up.
The conspiracy theory then alleges that at the same time, Ukrainian embassy officials were working with a consultant named Alexandra Chalupa (who held a minor post with the DNC) to channel incriminating information about Trump and Manafort to reporters and intelligence agencies. CIA Director John Brennan then supposedly manipulated this information and baited the FBI into opening its investigation. (This is why House Republicans put Chalupa on a list of witnesses they wanted to testify.) The Clinton campaign, meanwhile, was using a firm called Fusion GPS, which paid former British spy Christopher Steele to produce a lurid dossier about Trump. (Though of course it wasn't released and was only made public by Buzzfeed after the election.) The FBI, supposedly at Brennan's behest, then improperly used information gleaned from Ukrainians via Chalupa and Steele to trigger its counterintelligence investigation into the Trump campaign. (There's more, of course, but this is an article, not a book.)
To simplify for those who are still with me: Corrupt U.S. intelligence officials glommed onto false allegations pushed at them by Ukrainians terrified of a Trump administration and used them to launch years of phony investigations against both candidate and President Trump. The Mueller report, so this story goes, proved that this was all a hoax from the get-go, and now President Trump and Attorney General Barr just want to get to the truth about what really happened.
It should almost go without saying that this is all nonsense, the product of shut-ins decorating large poster boards with paranoid speculation and unsubstantiated rumors and then laundering it all through various luminaries in the right-wing media cocoon. None of it makes any real sense.
To have worked, it had to have involved former CIA director John Brennan, FBI Director James Comey, and Attorney General Loretta Lynch. The number of conspirators must have run into the hundreds, many of whom would have been career public servants (as opposed to political appointees) in the intelligence agencies and the FBI. Yet none of them are talking?
Second, if the FBI was part of a plot to destroy then-candidate Trump, why did FBI Director James Comey then go out of his way to assail Clinton as "extremely careless" in his June 5, 2016, press conference and then theatrically announce that he was looking at new emails just days before the presidential election, a maneuver that may have led directly to her loss?
Third, why would the Clinton campaign have conspired with Ukraine against itself to release a long series of damaging or distracting emails from people like John Podesta?
Lastly, in the closing days of the campaign, when the polls had tightened and there was a very real possibility of Trump winning the election, why didn't any of the conspirators do more to release this information to the media? Why would the conspirators bury their own conspiracy?
The problem for Democrats is that these questions don't immediately come to mind for most people. Americans, most of whom who have not read the 448-page Mueller Report and are only dimly aware of the many troubling details about the Trump campaign's efforts to work with Russian hackers to subvert the 2016 election, watched Democrats simply walk away and turn off the lights after Mueller's July 24 testimony before Congress, seemingly resigned to the president's triumphant efforts to obstruct justice. Now Democrats have to contend with this Republican counternarrative, which if not pushed back on aggressively, will appear just as credible to the modestly informed.
It might sound equally bonkers, but Democrats should think about tackling it all head-on, perhaps by calling in a leading Ukraine conspiracy advocate like Sean Hannity to testify before Congress, followed by witnesses like Brennan who can then dismantle it all piece by piece. There is no way that Hannity or anyone else would be able to hold it together through hours of interrogation by Daniel Goldman, who capably led some of the questioning for House Democrats in last week's hearings. Give Republicans their wish and bring in Chalupa, who is desperate to testify. Bring in Alperovitch. If they really want to stop the news cycle and force everyone to watch, bring in former President Obama himself. Take a week, and blow the whole kooky theory to pieces.
Remember: This is all one story. The Trump-Giuliani Ukraine caper was partly about screwing with the 2020 election, but it was also about fabricating evidence to support the administration's nutso counter-narrative that the real villains in 2016 weren't the Russians but rather Ukrainians and Obama administration officials from the "deep state" working together to smear Our Great President. The behavior that led to these impeachment hearings is part of a maximalist plot to completely exonerate both Russia and the president of any wrongdoing, all driven by Trump's thin-skinned obsession with legitimacy, and his administration's barely-concealed hunger to engage in further abuses of power.
If they get away with this, they can get away with anything, and they know it. That's why Democrats need to take the time to get this story right, and convince the public that there is nothing to the GOP's Ukraine fever dreams but sweaty sheets and bad faith.
Want more essential commentary and analysis like this delivered straight to your inbox? Sign up for The Week's "Today's best articles" newsletter here.
See the article here:
The Republicans' Ukraine conspiracy theory is going mainstream - The Week
- Russia issues school textbook saying it was 'forced' to march into Ukraine - Reuters - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Russia introduces history textbook that redefines war against Ukraine as justified defense. - Kyiv Independent - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Bad Things Happened: Trump Still Doesnt Understand the Ukraine War - The Bulwark - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Russia says its troops have captured a strategic town in eastern Ukraine - The Associated Press - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- NATO chief: Cost of Russian victory in Ukraine would be trillions not billions - Atlantic Council - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- For Russian Forces In Ukraine, Its Now Normal To Ride Into Battle In A Compact Car - Forbes - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Opinion: Trump promised to end the Ukraine war, but neither side is ready - Los Angeles Times - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Putin echoes Trump's claim that conflict in Ukraine could have been avoided had he been in office - The Associated Press - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Russia says it sees no signs that Ukraine and the West are ready for peace talks despite all statements - Reuters - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Zelenskiy says Trump could end Ukraine war only if Kyiv included in talks - Reuters - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- War in Ukraine: EU to Agree to Extend Russia Sanctions, Hungary to Back Down - Bloomberg - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Letters: Stop the fireworks; angry about McCoy story; end war in Ukraine - VC Star - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Zelenskiy Says Ukraine Ready to Transit Gas From Azerbaijan - Bloomberg - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Why peace talks between Ukraine and Russia are not as simple as Trump makes out - The Independent - January 27th, 2025 [January 27th, 2025]
- Trump tells Putin to end 'ridiculous war' in Ukraine or face new sanctions - BBC.com - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ukraine-Russia latest: Putin ready for Trump negotiations as Kyiv sets oil refinery ablaze with drone strike - The Independent - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ukraine is reforming its recruitment efforts to attract younger soldiers and boost forces - The Associated Press - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Europe considers sending troops to Ukraine if theres a ceasefire. But would Russia accept? - The Associated Press - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Opinion: I spent Trumps inauguration in Ukraine. This is what I saw. - Salt Lake Tribune - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Putin claims Ukraine crisis may have been averted if Trump was president - CNN - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Did Ukraine Kill Its Own by Downing a Russian Plane? A Year Later, It Hasnt Said. - The New York Times - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Russia claims its troops are in the last stages of taking another eastern Ukraine town - The Associated Press - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ukraine Is Losing Fewer Soldiers Than Russia but Its Still Losing the War - The New York Times - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Does Putin know why Ukraine fights on? Because we prize freedom above stability and wealth | Andrey Kurkov - The Guardian - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Russia rejects idea of NATO peacekeepers in Ukraine, warning of "uncontrollable escalation" - Reuters - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Trump's threat against Moscow on Ukraine seen as an insulting false start by some in Russia - NBC News - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- UKs 100-year partnership with Ukraine is a meaningless political stunt - Al Jazeera English - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Putin says he and Trump should meet to discuss Ukraine and energy prices - Reuters - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Putin ready for negotiations with Trump on Ukraine war - The Guardian - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- US arms exports hit record in 2024 on Ukraine-related demand - Reuters - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- This Ones Mine. Ukraine Says Russia Is Executing More POWs and Capturing It on Video. - The Wall Street Journal - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Russia Brushes Off Trumps Threats on Ukraine - The Wall Street Journal - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Russia: Nothing new in Trump threats on Moscows war on Ukraine - VOA Asia - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Video: The Kremlin responds to Trump calling on Putin to make a deal with Ukraine - CNN - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- To end the Russia-Ukraine war, Trump will need to get leverage - The Hill - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ukraine's Kursk invasion was a risky play, but it might have nailed the timing - Business Insider - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Trump leans in on targeting Russian oil revenue as he tries to fulfill pledge to end Ukraine war - The Associated Press - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- 'He shouldn't have done that': Donald Trump criticizes Ukraine president over war - USA TODAY - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Putin open for talks with Trump over Ukraine war and calls for leaders to meet - The Independent - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Business elites truly believe Trump could be on the verge of solving one of the world's most difficult problems: The Ukraine War - New York Post - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Kyiv investigates another case of Russian soldiers executing Ukraine POWs - POLITICO Europe - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ukrainian winemaker and US veterans team up to show the best of Ukraine, a glass at a time - The Associated Press - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Is Trump changing tack on ending the war in Ukraine? - The Conversation Indonesia - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Shared Challenges: Israel Considers Sending Russian Weapons Seized From Hezbollah to Ukraine - Foundation for Defense of Democracies - January 26th, 2025 [January 26th, 2025]
- Ukrainian troops say inexperienced North Koreans are making easy targets - The Washington Post - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Ukraine says it has laser weapon able to down targets flying at over 2km - Yahoo! Voices - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Berlin eyes role in Ukraine peace deal but says too early for decisions - Reuters - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Keep Ukraine Out of Talks to End Its War - Foreign Policy - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Ukraine and US say some North Korean troops have been killed fighting alongside Russian forces - The Associated Press - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Russia aims to win the war in Ukraine in 2025, top official says - Semafor - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Trump suggests reversing permission for Ukraine to use US missiles in Russia - The Telegraph - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Trump to Europe: Overseeing a Ukraine Cease-Fire Would Be Your Job - The Wall Street Journal - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- The Price of Russian Victory: Why Letting Putin Win Would Cost America More Than Supporting Ukraine - Foreign Affairs Magazine - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- They said we were American spies: Priests describe Russias crackdown on Evangelicals in occupied Ukraine - CNN - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Trump says it was 'stupid' for Biden to let Ukraine use US weapons to strike deeper into Russia - The Associated Press - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Cajole, Plead and Flatter: Ukraine Makes Its Case to Trump - The New York Times - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Ukraine-Russia war map: Where Putins forces are making gains in eastern Ukraine - The Independent - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Europe Needs to Swiftly Fulfil Its Aid Pledges to Ukraine - Bloomberg - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Ukraine says it has laser weapon able to down targets flying at over 2km - Reuters - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Trump says deal needed to stop Ukraine war, will talk to Putin and Zelenskiy - Reuters - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Were 750,000 additional lives wasted in Ukraine for less than nothing? - The Hill - December 16th, 2024 [December 16th, 2024]
- Ukraine war: US gives $20bn to Kyiv funded by seized Russian assets - BBC.com - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Trump calls for immediate ceasefire in Ukraine and says a US withdrawal from NATO is possible - The Associated Press - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- How Trump Can Win the Peace in Ukraine - The Atlantic - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Ukraine-Russia latest: Zelensky wont sacrifice young troops to Putins forces for more weapons from West - The Independent - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Biden is rushing aid to Ukraine. Both sides are digging in. And everyone is bracing for Trump - The Associated Press - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Russian prison boss killed in car blast in occupied Ukraine - BBC.com - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Kremlin says Ukraine war will go on until Putin's goals are met on battlefield or by negotiation - Reuters - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Russia targets Ukraine's energy grid as winter sets in. Here's how one plant copes - NPR - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Deadly Russian strike kills at least three in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia - Euronews - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- How Trump Could End the War in Ukraine - The Atlantic - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- War in Ukraine: The woman turning amputees into 'superhumans' - BBC.com - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Zelensky salutes Trump's 'strong resolve' to end war in Ukraine - FRANCE 24 English - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- US announces nearly $1 billion more in longer-term weapons support for Ukraine - The Associated Press - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Amid U.S. pressure, Ukraine starts thinking about drafting 18-year-olds - The Washington Post - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Zelenskyy open to Western troops providing security for end to war in Ukraine - The Associated Press - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Ukraine to raise NATO invite, security guarantees at meeting with European allies - Reuters - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Kyiv reveals total Ukraine casualties in Putins war for first time - POLITICO Europe - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Bill Browder on saving Ukraine, NATO, and the threat of Vladimir Putin - the1a.org - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]
- Biden is rushing aid to Ukraine as everyone braces for Trump - FOX 5 DC - December 10th, 2024 [December 10th, 2024]